this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2025
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I forgot the biggest laugh of them all. This YouTube astrology dude explains some different types of astrology, including one he called mundane astrology. He explained mundane astrologers attempt to explain entire society's behaviors and fates using the stars or astrology or whatever. And the example that he gave was COVID. And also he brought up, believe it or not, elections. And said that there's an election astrology.
So I think there are only three possibilities.
One is that astrology, including election astrology, is super effective. And a handful of people can do it. And they're all billionaires.
Scenario two, the same scenario, except election astrologers don't like to mix money with their craft. And that's why we don't know about the 30th through 50th richest people on the planet, all being astrologers, who enjoy the betting markets, the prediction markets.
Scenario three is that we don't see billionaire astrologers. Not because they are too ethical to mix money with sky gazing (or whatever it is), but because they're making it all up.
So to the astrologers out there, who amongst you are billionaires thanks to owning the prediction markets every day or every election cycle? Or what kind of ethical code prevents election astrologers from using prediction markets?
I mean, when I was learning statistics and econometrics, half of my professors stressed the limitations of various kinds of mathematical predictive models... by saying that we don't want to go from professionals to turning into astrologers.
Of course, this doesn't stop a lot of day trader dude bros and more recently crypto day trader dude bros from convincing themselves they've cracked the code...
But the point here is: Actual statisticians literally use 'astrologer' as a derisive slur.
And they are correct to do so, imo, lol.