Anarchitect

if the manufacture and supply chain of materials of a windmill is substantially fossil fuel based its just a symbolic version of that.

while i think a lot of the "renewables are made of fossil fuels" arguments are overly reductionist in a pragmatic sense its still true. i do think many of those people think unless the entire supply chain of renewables is renewables its impure or not useful. Its still very useful and steps on a continuum to full renewable self reproduction , even if it does take some nuclear peaker plants or something .

the ore grade getting shittier and more contaminated with heavy metals and those metals accumulating in the soils everywhere those fertilizers are used will fuck humanity sooner and already is in many places.

I think hes making a supremely bad call trying to get those people to sell a real asset homestead in a good location just because of debt. in the current situation the only path that can be taken is papering over any crash with money printer. This will end up rapidly devaluing their debt to the point they will basically be getting dirt cheap primo property so long as they can float through the fixed payments long enough. People in weimar era germany that bought tons of assets on debt made out like bandits. Maximizing Debt is a good strategy if you dont hit ruin between now and the blow off of inflation. If they have savings to cover a few years of payments they should be good once the next crash hits

Venezuela then iran then cuba.

if you dont believe me i dont care. this is for people who know me and know im not full of shit. if you want proof go hangout on the firing range of Ft Hood when they drop the test run bunker busters for all i care.

During the US civil war a bioluminescent fungus that kind worked like penicillin randomly spread after a battle saving a bunch of lives:

cool!

Before the antibiotic era there was a dude that survived cholera or other epidemic in trench warfare WWI they found a particular strain of ecoli he harbored and preserved it and there is a company that still sells it .

i thought we needed to be closer to 800- 1000 pom

600ppm is the place where it start affecting human cognition from what i recall. there was a dude in the reddit back in the day called MrVisible that was obsessed with this and had a whole sub about it . i thing it was called r/doomsdaycult or something like that.

EDIT: i just went to find that old sub and reddit banned it of course . maybe a reddit archive will have it.

"First, there is no natural brake. AI capabilities improve, companies need fewer workers, displaced workers spend less, weakened companies invest more in AI to protect margins, and AI capabilities improve further. Each company’s individual response is rational. The collective result is a negative feedback loop that feeds on itself.

Second, the spending damage is wildly disproportionate to the job losses. The top 20% of earners drive roughly 65% of all US consumer spending. These are the white-collar workers most exposed to AI displacement. A modest percentage decline in white-collar employment translates into a much larger hit to discretionary consumer spending, devastating the businesses that depend on it and triggering further layoffs.

Third, AI agents will dismantle the vast intermediation layer of the US economy. Over fifty years, we have built trillions of dollars of enterprise value on top of human limitations: things take time, patience runs out, and most people accept a bad price to avoid more clicks. Agentic AI eliminates this friction. Software, consulting, financial services, insurance, travel, real estate and payments are all built on monetizing complexity that agents find trivial. As these sectors suffer steep revenue losses, they will shed jobs aggressively and compound the bleeding.

Fourth, the financial system is one long daisy chain of correlated bets on white-collar productivity growth. Over $2.5 trillion of private credit has been deployed into leveraged buyouts underwritten against revenue assumptions that no longer hold. The $13 trillion mortgage market is built on the assumption that borrowers will remain employed at roughly their current income for thirty years. These aren’t subprime borrowers–they’re 780 FICO scores who put 20% down. The loans were good on day one. The world just changed after they were written.

Fifth, the government’s fiscal position inverts at the worst possible time. Federal revenue is essentially a tax on human work. As white-collar incomes decline and payrolls shrink, tax receipts dry up just as the need for transfer payments surges. The government will need to send more money to households at precisely the moment it is collecting less from them."

Wildy higher losses and worse than i would have suspected.

Maize Under a high-emissions scenario, our projected end-of-century maize yield losses are severe (about −40%) in the grain belt of the USA, Eastern China, Central Asia, Southern Africa and the Middle East (Fig. 2a, Extended Data Fig. 7a and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11). Losses in South America and Central Africa are more moderate (about −15%), mitigated in part by high levels of precipitation and increasing long-run precipitation (Extended Data Fig. 3b). Impacts in Europe vary with latitude, from +10% gains in the north to −40% losses along the Mediterranean. Gains in theoretical yield potentials occur in many northern regions in which maize is not widely grown (Supplementary Fig. 7).

Soybean The spatial distribution of soybean yield impacts is similar in structure to maize, although magnitudes are accentuated (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Fig. 7b and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11); for example, about −50% in the USA and about +20% in wet regions of Brazil under a high-emissions scenario.

Rice High-emissions rice yield impacts are mixed in India and Southeast Asia, which lead global rice production, with small gains and losses throughout these regions. This regional result is broadly consistent with earlier work1. In the remaining rice-growing regions, central estimates are generally negative, with magnitudes in Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and Central Asia exceeding −50% (Fig. 2c, Extended Data Fig. 7c and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

Wheat Wheat losses are notably consistent across the main wheat-growing regions, with high-emissions yield losses of −15% to −25% in Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa and South America and −30% to −40% in China, Russia, the USA and Canada (Fig. 2d, Extended Data Fig. 7d and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11). There are notable exceptions to these global patterns: wheat-growing regions of Western China exhibit both gains and losses, whereas wheat-growing regions of Northern India exhibit some of the most severe projected losses across the globe.

Cassava Cassava is projected to have uniformly negative projected impacts in nearly all regions in which it is grown at present, with the largest losses in Sub-Saharan Africa (−40% on average under a high-emissions scenario). Although cassava does not make up a large portion of global agricultural revenues, it is an important subsistence crop in low-income and middle-income countries. Thus, these yield losses may be a substantial future threat to the nutritional intake of the global poor (Fig. 2e, Extended Data Fig. 7e and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

Sorghum Sorghum losses are widespread in almost all of the main regions in which it is grown at present: North America (−40%), South Asia (including India) (−10%) and Sub-Saharan Africa (−25%). Projected gains emerge in Western Europe (+28%) and Northern China (+3%) (Fig. 2f, Extended Data Fig. 7f and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

still funds some coherent stuff.

Nice . I was waiting for someone to quantify this type of thing. I wonder what the maximum possible density is.

What YIELD is, is production per area figure. So like, if you jettison all these marginal failing fields, your “average” climbs. Because you’re making the denominator smaller FASTER than you’re making the numerator smaller. But production is falling!

yeah reminds me of how they claim less and less people are in poverty because some arbitrary $2.50 a day threshold while simultaneously the number of people with permanent malnutrition based stunting is increasing by hundreds of millions.