this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2023
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The 40-40 chuck it up strategy. Basically if you are a team at the 40 yard line or greater, every play should just be a chuck it 40 yards or more deep pass. Why? Each time you do it, one of 4 things are likely to happen.
1)A completed deep pass (Good) 2)A pass interference call (Good) 3)An incomplete pass (nul) 4)An interception (Bad)
So 50% of likely options are good and only 25% are harmful. Yet because this strategy only starts at the 40 yard line, you have basically made a punt anyway so the harmful result isn't really that punishing.
If you take enough deep shots eventually one will be DPI statistically
This was the Ravens offense with Flacco and Torrey Smith