this post was submitted on 15 May 2024
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[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago (3 children)

The pandemic is an obvious inflection point in many of these graphs.

What exactly is that mechanism or process? That rents have gone up makes sense as passing on interest rate increases. But vacancy rates going down? There aren't more people all of a sudden (it was a pandemic not a baby boom).

[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago

Work from home. People use an extra room as an office instead of a roommate. Commercial property is at lower capacity. It’s a refit in how we use space.

I would not be surprised if there was an increase in seperate ons and increase in people living without others, irrespective of work arrangements. What’s odd, is that there has not been a rejigger again since rents started rising.

I think travel was also booming after Covid, so airbnbs were probably going gangbusters. Not so much any more, but the market probably hasn’t adjusted yet.

It’s probably a combination of all of these, and other factors.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Lockdowns taught a lot of people that they fucking hated their roommates, or their tiny apartments, or both

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago

Yea right. If people left tiny apartments, that should balance out in terms of vacancy rates though. Plus I knew of some people that really hated living alone and so presumably sought to live with someone else.

But share houses blowing up makes a lot of sense.

I wonder if there's a demographics to it as well, where millennials are now middle aged, and so either more entitled in their residential "needs" or starting families, with the pandemic suddenly accelerating that trend. But in reality, was it a very foreseeable trend?

[–] [email protected] 7 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Over here in NZ we had the biggest influx of expats back to NZ in memory. Perhaps you had the same?

Another possibility is perhaps a drop in the number of rental properties overall. Money got cheap, house prices went up, perhaps lots of landlords sold up, and lots of renters suddenly could afford to buy?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Interestingly, you now seem to be having the largest outflux of citizens ever, too

https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/05/14/record-number-of-kiwis-leave-nz-stats-nz/

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Yeah, everyone came back to NZ to weather the storm, then left again. People are leaving pretty much as fast as their passports can be issued, which is pretty slow at the moment. Prepandemic passports for most people were issued within a few days. Now it's taking 10 weeks.

I don't think this was unexpected, there was always the expectation that people would leave once the pandemic had settled down.

Not only is there a bunch of people who came back and are now leaving, all the people who would have left during the pandemic but couldn't will now be making their move.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

You guys must be getting whiplash!

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I bet a significant number of those people came from and and now heading to Aussie!

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Well, we were the ones who invented pavlova, so you can't blame them ;)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

According this Aussie website it was neither of us!

Though the article steals a lot of other stuff from us so I wouldn't trust it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

This is the best summary I could come up with:


Treasury officials say the shortage of housing stock has been making it more difficult to find a property to buy or rent.

Our population has been growing too quickly in recent years, and, when coupled with changes in peoples' housing preferences, it has resulted in worsening affordability for renters and first-home buyers.

$1.9 billion to increase the maximum rates of Commonwealth Rent Assistance by a further 10 per cent to alleviate rental stress (over five years from 2023-24).

$88.8 million for 20,000 new fee-free TAFE places (over three years from 2024-25), which includes increased access to pre-apprenticeship programs, in courses relevant to the construction sector.

Those measures will complement the well-publicised "target" to build 1.2 million new, well-located homes over five years, starting from 1 July 2024.

And finally, the government says the tertiary education sector is very important for Australia's economy but the number of students it is bringing into the country is putting pressure on the private rental market.


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