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The original was posted on /r/cryptocurrency by /u/LoquaciousLethologic on 2023-12-08 04:21:40+00:00.
Just shy of 18 months, but decided to go look at and update the portfolio today. Been buying crypto regularly since June 15th 2022 after that first crash. Pretty much ran out of cash a couple months ago. Now I just put a little in every week from my paychecks.
This was not true DCA because I was not buying the same crypto every time, but essentially buying the same fiat value every time. I certainly made some mistakes through the bear market, which I will show through my current ROI later.
Main mistake is that it would have benefitted myself more to just have bought BTC through the second half of 2022 and to have waited to buy altcoins when BTC began to pump at the beginning of 2023. When I run numbers on what I put into my portfolio and adjust towards BTC my total ROI today always ends up higher.
My second mistake is that I put too many large lump sum purchases in during 2022, and should have waited to buy more altcoins till 2023. This has lowered my ROI across the board.
Essentially, from June 15th 2022 through January 15th 2023 I should have made regular BTC purchases. Then through 2023 I should have raised the weekly purchase amounts and bought more and more altcoins as well. This would not mean that EVERY altcoin would have a higher ROI, but that my average ROI across all coins would be much higher.
Regardless, I am not going to beat myself up over not 'doing my best' when I'm doing good. Now the numbers.
Bitcoin is literally over 100% ROI for me right now with the price over $40k. I am extremely grateful to past me for DCAing, for buying the FTX crash, and not letting up even though it was sometimes really difficult and/or scary. If I had focused on BTC more in 2022 my ROI could be over 120%, but I am happy with where I got.
Ethereum is at 55% right now, which is good. I certainly spaced out purchases for it and it ended up okay, but I need to accrue more so I fear the ROI will suffer a little.
Top winners currently are Solana, at 197%, and Chainlink at 113%. I will forever remember people in this subreddit bashing me for buying some SOL at $8 which really brought my average down. Thanks doubters.
Only alts still down for me are KDA, EGLD, MATIC and a couple degen plays. KDA has high inflation and I plan to buy more and more through the BTC halving. MATIC kind of surprises me because of how much it was loved before and how well it held during the crashes till this year. But this is one coin that proves waiting till 2023 would have been the safer option. Range is only -6 through -22% for all my negatives.
Everything else in the pot is 1-38% up.
Any altcoins I bought since Q2 of 2023 are up. GFI, AVT, FLUX, and a handful more. 62-251% up for all of them. Strong case for waiting till 2023.
It is more difficult to see how much in profits my portfolio is (as there is some shuffling that occurs), but I believe I am over 25% in profits overall (again, supporting buying more BTC early on instead of alts).
I plan to buy more, but a Bitcoin spot ETF approval will likely launch the market higher and higher. At some point I'll stop buying and start selling. Likely I'll continue to expand on my altcoin portfolio, and may pick up a few more coins during the first half of 2024.
For exit strategy if we pass the halving, ETFs are approved, and the market keeps moving up much more than before then I may hold off on selling anything till I reach 900% ROI individually. At that point a 10% sale to take back my principle would be ideal. Tentatively I hope to sell a considerable amount of my crypto, especially the degen plays, while holding some coins long-term, and sitting on profits to buy back in later.
I think it would be fair for anyone to wait 12 months after the halving to sell out. Or, to wait for any crypto to 3x their former market cap ATH (not their former price ATH). But there is no guarantee for alts to reach former ATHs, so everyone really should think about their holdings and decide for themselves.
Still not too late to buy in guys! The 12k Bitcoin bros are salty. If BTC proves its theory correct and is the only asset/currency we currently have in existence that will always accrue value cycle after cycle, then buying now is a no-brainer. It's either now at 40k, or next year at 100k, or 2025 at 250k, or later at half a million, then a million, etc.... Just buy a little, keep an emergency fund, stop trying to sell crypto to everyone around you, and enjoy making generational wealth. Best of luck!