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Only 7% of Arab American voters plan on voting for President Biden (lemm.ee)

submitted 7 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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https://adc.org/community-pulse/

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Who collected this data and what was their methodology? Because I have a very hard time believing there's any demographic where Republican, Democrat, and Not Voting makes up less than 50%—let alone less than 15%—of the total.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 7 months ago

This political action group sent out a survey to everyone who subscribes to their newsletter and the folks who are engaged with this anti-establishment political organization are gasp against the establishment candidates.

Calling this a survey is an insult to statisticians; at best this is a straw poll and doesn't provide any meaningful information about how these sentiments might be shared more broadly. Yes - Arabs mad, Biden bad, we know this with or without the survey, but it doesn't survey a representative (randomized) sample of Arab-American voters, so it's impossible to extrapolate the results at a state or national level.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

You are right. Biden had 59% support among Arab Americans at least in 2020-2021. But the genocide is very unpopular and people have family and friends there. For example former Congressman Justin Amash had several of his relatives killed after an Israeli airstrike hit a Greek Orthodox church in the Gaza Strip.

The data here has been collected by the ADC https://adc.org/community-pulse/ you can learn about this https://adc.org/about/

Here's another source that similarly illustrate this unprecedented huge drop in a short time:

The Arab American Institute also have their polling methodology and Biden drops to 17%, higher than 7% but this is older data from November 2023 when people still had hope Biden would do the right thing:

Not everyone feels the same. Back in the U.S., Palestinian and Arab Americans have expressed outrage over Biden’s response to Israel’s bombardment of Gaza, which has killed more than 8,000 people, more than a quarter of them children. The first national poll of Arab Americans since the war in Gaza began shows how deep that sense of betrayal goes, with only 17% of Arab American voters saying they will vote for Biden in 2024—a staggering drop from 59% in 2020.

“This is the most dramatic shift over the shortest period of time that I’ve ever seen,” James Zogby, the founder and president of the Arab American Institute, which released the poll on Tuesday, tells TIME.

Biden’s Gaza Stance Spurs Stunning Drop in Arab American Support