559
A COBOL programmer explains that this migration is impossible without catastrophe unless they want to destroy social security.
(lemmy.world)
this post was submitted on 29 Mar 2025
559 points (98.9% liked)
Bluesky
1018 readers
183 users here now
People skeeting stuff.
Bluesky Social is a microblogging social platform being developed in conjunction with the decentralized AT Protocol. Previously invite-only, the flagship Beta app went public in February 2024. All are welcome!
founded 4 months ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
But that's why he has kids running the place. They think they can do it in a few months. Never going to happen. But they have confidence and that's what matters, not skill or common sense.
Even as a software dev with decades of experience I still chronically underestimate projects by like half, and even I agree the idea of replacing the social security data processing system in under a year is ridiculous.
I solved that estimation problem years ago.
Now I double all my estimates and then add 20pct for slack
LOL I've heard a rule of thumb to double it, also to quadruple it, and one guy said multiply it by five.
I usually take a realistic estimate and multiply it by π.