this post was submitted on 08 Apr 2025
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The Ministry of Justice is developing a system that aims to ‘predict’ who will commit murder, as part of a “data science” project using sensitive personal data on hundreds of thousands of people.

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[–] [email protected] 81 points 6 days ago (2 children)

570 recorded homicides between March 2023 and 2024.

Data on "hundreds of thousands" of people can't provide the distinguishing markers to even have a stab at this.

It can reliably predict when people are black, though.

[–] [email protected] 40 points 6 days ago (1 children)

It can predict blackness with up to 63% accuracy!

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 8 points 6 days ago (1 children)

If I was clever I might have said 60%

Because 3/5

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 days ago

Eh that's more of a US thing

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 days ago

1/e is about 37%, maybe 1-1/e?

[–] [email protected] 11 points 6 days ago

a stab

I see what you did there 😄