this post was submitted on 13 Apr 2025
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All things considered, it has only been about 3 months since Trump took office, I feel like there is absolutely no way that this was just a single craze and from here things will even out.

I feel like until 2028 (or maybe 2026?) S&P 500 is going to look like a roller coaster.

What do you think?

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[โ€“] [email protected] 20 points 2 days ago (5 children)

S&P 500 is still up 5% over the last 12 months. Up 95% over the last 5 years. Any action on a shorter timeline than that is emotionally driven and should be largely ignored. Unless you're day trading of course. You're not, right?

That said, ya. We're probably heading into a rough time.

We're looking at negative GDP growth according to folks smarter than I am. 2 quarters of that and it's probably a recession.

Additionally it looks like foreign investors are leaving the US Treasury market kicking up yields and foreign governments are getting uneasy about purchasing US made weapons or relying on US security guarantees which, again, reduces GDP both directly and indirectly.

2028 can't come fast enough.

[โ€“] [email protected] 10 points 2 days ago

Optimistic of you to assume any of this will end in 2028. Trump and his fascist goons are already priming the electorate to accept a 3rd term. He's not going away until he's dead.

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