this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2023
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The blackouts will make no difference to Reddit's plans. The API charge will come in. The content creators and moderators will leave. The content will go stale. The smart shareholders will cash in early; the dumb ones will hang on for the prospect of a greater return which won't materialise. Once the content is stale, the readers and lurkers will leave. Reddit will become a has-been, a memorable item of internet history like so many other sites.
Not just stale content. But with fewer mods, and the mods that do remain having fewer and less effective tools to do their job, there will be a lot more trolls and spam. The stale content is the lesser problem, really.
Hot take from me: They were planning to just add ads into the API, remove NSFW so that ad agencies don't get mad and maybe put a more modest premium to access the API.
They spark the outrage then basically paint users and subreddits that supported the blackout as 'heroes' when the walk back the changes partially and exclaim "We did it Reddit!". All when it would have been the plan from the get-go. The silence from their reasons behind this has me very suspicious of something like this.
I agree with you. Standard tactics with this sort of shit. Say you'll do something outrageous and when folks get mad enough roll back your plans enough that don't quite fuck over users as hard. Repeat ad infinitum. Users think they've won but in reality they've given up another inch.
This is the way it will go down.
It's a shame.