this post was submitted on 08 Jun 2023
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Jesus:
Global warming is absolutely crushing certain countries. There's going to be a lot of dead elderly and young children before all that is over.
it's pretty likely we'll see a mass-casualty heat event in that part of the world sooner rather than later. while mercifully this doesn't seem to be the case here, wet-bulb temperatures are gonna be a particular problem, and likely what does it (especially if it's accompanied by power shortages or an outage).
a commonly reported threshold is humans can't survive wet-bulbs of 35°C—which would be 95°F heat at 100% humidity and is already possible in that area of the world, although thankfully still rare—but it's increasingly clear we also do very badly with substantially lower wet-bulbs:
and obviously a critical threshold of 31°C is much more attainable in these areas both in the short and long term, which uhhhh yeah, not good!