this post was submitted on 04 Oct 2023
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[–] [email protected] 23 points 1 year ago (7 children)

If it jumped 10% annually since 2010 wouldn't that make it 130% or am I bad at maths

[–] [email protected] 49 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That's not how this kind of thing works, and it depends on where it starts. If it's 1% of children attempting suicide, which would be a huge amount, a 10% increase is 1.1%, and then for the next year a 10% increase makes it 1.21%, and then 1.33%. This is why when something increases your risk of something by say, 50%, it might mean absolutely nothing if the initial odds are 1 in a billion. 1.5 in a billion isn't really any more likely.

[–] [email protected] 31 points 1 year ago

My neighbour was freaking out when she saw in the local newspaper that burglaries in our town had increased by 100%

I pointed out that we had 2 burglaries this year, compared to the 1 last year...

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