this post was submitted on 31 Aug 2021
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I think it's also depending on whether or not the network is able to reach critical mass: a sufficient number of adopters of a new idea, technology or innovation in a social system so that the rate of adoption becomes self-sustaining and creates further growth. Now to reach critical mass for a social media network the following factors are important: money, hype/publicity/marketing, quality of the network and timing. Social networks often fail due to lack of money and being unable to generate enough publicity. Kind of a Catch-22. Federated networks may be able to avoid the money issue by spreading the burden of the costs over many instances and not having to satisfy shareholders. This can contribute to their chance of survival in the long run provided that a opportunity comes by where one or multiple incidents generate enough influx of new users.