this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2023
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Ukraine
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I think it's more Ukraine warning us about the importance of Europe and NATO continuing to help Ukraine.
Because if we don't help, and Ukraine falls, Russia can and will continue.
But I seriously doubt Russia would want to try their luck against all of NATO acting in full on article 5 to defend a member state. Especially now when it has been shown how poorly their military performs. So the Baltic countries should be very safe from Russian invasion.
But it seems Putin still hasn't realized how crazy his decision to invade Ukraine was. So he might continue to be crazy as in outright insane, and believe he can take on NATO.
But more likely IMO, Russia would move against non NATO states like Kazakhstan.