this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2023
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A Boring Dystopia
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Reposting from another thread:
Social security has been 10-15 years away from being insolvent for 80 years. It will always be 10-15 years away from being insolvent because of the way it's calculated.
When the CBO or whoever scores it they can predict certain things like the number of recipients, the size of their payments, and inflation. They aren't allowed to take into account things that Congress may (but definitely will) do in the future, like raising the cap on social security taxes roughly with inflation. It went up from $160200 in 2023 to $168600 in 2024. This is a rare bipartisan, uncontroversial thing. Congress almost always follows the SSA recommendation exactly.
It would be more accurate to say "if the social security cap stays at $168600 for 10 years, social security will be insolvent."
The people pushing this bullshit know it's bullshit. They do it to make people think they'll never get social security so they can get enough voters on board with killing it, like they've been trying to do for 88 years.
Don't fall for it.
They spend more as they get in, it will run out. No amount of tomfoolery will change that.
They've been saying that my entire life, my dad's entire life, and when my dad was my age, my grandfather would tell him he's heard the same things his entire life going back to the 40s.
For a couple decades the disingenuous doom -and-gloomers told us no way could social security ever deal with the baby boomers. All through the 80s and 90s they told us we might as well privatize it or kill it all together. The only time wall street shut up about it was when they were too busy jerking off to the thought of getting their hands on that money. Well, the youngest of the boomers turn 60 in '24, they're almost all in and the end times keep getting pushed back, from the 80s to the 90s to the 00s to the 10s to the 20s and now 2035. It's like a doomsday cult that keeps pushing the date when the apocalypse doesn't arrive at the appointed time.
You'll have to excuse me for not getting worked up over the 40th new year I've heard for the sky falling.
And for what it's worth, managing the COLAs, the cap, the percentages, and anything else the SSA has done throughout it's existence isn't "tomfoolery," it's accounting. And damn good accounting so far. The SSA being such a well run government institution probably makes republicans hate them almost as much as the tax itself.
LOL, just posted the same, but not nearly so learned or eloquent.
KIDS: You're getting your Social Security. And remember, us old folks are not going to go senile and vote against it!
It's called the "third rail" of American politics for a reason. Touch it, you die.
People here making 90s talking points like they're still relevant in this political climate. Have you seen the people Republicans vote for? Have you seen this Supreme Court?
That shit is out the window.
Sure upto now it's been fine...
But a WHOLE LOT of new people will be getting check soon..
And military and debt spending are through the roof And the normal people are paying groceries and rent with their credit card...
I'm. Sure they'll solve it tho, last minute.
That exact comment would be at home in a letter to the editor in response to an article in any newspaper, in any year, for the past 80 years. And on any discussion board from the earliest days of the internet until now.
I'm not going to make any assumptions about your age or the length of time you've paid attention to these issues, but if it's only been a decade or so, you should start seeing the pattern soon. It won't even be at the last minute, it'll just keep slowly moving out so it's always 10-15 years away. Don't let them scare you into helping them do what they've been trying for 88 years.
This program has kept a lot of elderly and disabled people out of poverty. Don't let them take it.