this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2024
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OTOH, how long it’s taking for the Kremlin to issue any response does suggest that they were taken by surprise. If they had planned this, they’d presumably have at least some preliminary statement about how they’re investigating it (setting things up neatly for their scripted conclusion).
It took long time to respond to beginning of war. And that wasn't even Friday evening.
I think it took them a long time to respond to the war because they cocked it up so badly. They were probably expecting to announce that they had taken Kyiv, and then didn't know what to do when they couldn't. Looks the same here. They may have been able to prevent this if they listened to the US intel. That may not be a good look for Putin back home.
They always take a pause. Can’t control the narrative in the initial chaos.