The only thing worst than a strong enemy are weak allies.
this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2025
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GODDAMMIT, MARY!!
Current likelihood is that there's only a mineral deal if US pays Zelensky/Ukraine to fight more. Security guarantees don't actually cost anything until you have to do something, and its pretty likely that any weapons would be used to provoke aggression during ceasefire instead of protecting Ukraine's neutrality.
It's Europe that wants war more than US, and so it's far more likely they get the mineral deal to keep going to the last Ukrainian.