Such interconnectedness - Seoul becomes safer with each North Korean artillery shell fired at Ukraine, and Ukraine becomes safer with every drone launched against Israel.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

and Taiwan becomes safer, the clearer it is that the West will support it in case of an invasion.

However the bad part is that this drives up the oil price helping Russia.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

However the bad part is that this drives up the oil price helping Russia.

It is known that Iran's "trump card" is that they will disrupt all hydrocarbon production in and around Persian Gulf. So that's Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Oman and Saudi Arabia. Quite a significant chunk of world production. They have been stockpiling weapons for this scenario. How confident are you in the US ability to shield all these countries from long range strikes? For how long? After they even failed to stop Yemen?

That is the hornet's nest that is being poked here.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

and the nasty part with that is, that the only option to end Yemens strike on shipping by force, is to hit them on the ground before they can launch. The US tried to do that and then realized that they did not have enough ammounition to actually destroy the Yemenis. With Iran it is much worse and China invading Taiwan would be a similar problem, but on an even more massive scale.

That is why the US has announced that they will protect US infrastructure in the region and not Israeli. That is not normal at all.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

Oh yeah, famously demand doesn't increase supply. Whole countries switching to war economy to produce more weapons than they would ever need in peacetime will certainly not lead to even more war.