You can't really go wrong with anything using Weather.gov. that's the National Weather Service that has a team of meteorologists focusing on your area no matter where you are, all over the country. They run the weather models, they have the radars, they launch the weather balloons. A lot of weather forecasts are repackaging of their forecasts.
Even then, weather is extremely complicated and forecasting for a large area is hard. I think the best thing to do it learn a little about weather, look at the forecast, then if it's important or the forecast is questionable, look at the NWS Area Forecast Discussion for your area.
The AFD is a text they release several times s day giving you their thoughts that went into the forecast. You can get a sense of the variables they're working with and the aspects they're certain or uncertain about. And if you want to nerd out, they're often filled with technical data to nerd out over, but you can skim past that if uninterested.