Late run: Minnesota. They are the best team in the North right now and once Jefferson is back, it's over. They MIGHT have a tough time in Denver tomorrow night but after that I think they run the table, including twice against Detroit.
Collapse: Detroit. Their defense is still one of the worst in the NFL and their schedule isn't as easy as previously thought. They face Chicago twice, and Fields in the past has torched this defense. Denver has seemingly got their act together after that embarrassment against the Dolphins so that could be a trap game for Detroit. New Orleans isn't terrible and have a solid WR corps that can easily embarrass Detroit's secondary. The Dallas game of course is an automatic loss for Detroit. I'm thinking Minnesota finishes the season 12-5 while the Lions collapse down the stretch and finish 9-8 while they limp into the final wild card seed participation trophy via tiebreaker like they did in 2016.
Detroit has one of the worst defenses in the league and Dobbs is a scarier matchup for them than Kirk due to his mobile abilities. Once Jefferson is back I see Minnesota running the table and Detroit will once again be doomed to a meaningless final wild card participation trophy seed.