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NFL Week 12 Predictions Thread (2023 Season) (alien.top)
 

Happy Thanskgiving Week, /r/NFL! I'm thankful that all you goobers read this series every year and participate. We had kind of a crazy Week 11 where I broke even, going 7-7 and bringing me to 108-56 on the season. How did everyone else do? As is Thanksgiving tradition, we have three Turkey Day games on Thursday. We also have our first Black Friday game this year, which will be fun. We have a massive 10 division games this week, with three inter-conference and two cross-conference games lined up. I may be throwing some Thanksgiving puns in my predictions... fair warning. Let's get to it!

Winner Loser Comments
Lions over Packers Our first Turkey Day matchup, and it'll be a good division one. The Pack's offense found more of a groove around Love recently and played more inspired defense. They should have some confidence for going into this rematch from Week 4 losing 34-20. The Lions will try to take pressure off Goff early with a heavy dose of running and shortening the game so they can get home for a heavy Thanksgiving meal.
Cowboys over Commanders The second course is less appetizing, as the Commanders just lost at home to the Giants. Dallas beat those same Giants 49-17. They rip into bad teams by pouring it on with Dak's passing, the running game, defense and special teams. The Commanders tend to show up in holiday division matchups, so maybe this game won't be overcooked.
49ers over Seattle The Niner's offense looks really good at this point. Purdy is in the zone with all of his weapons clicking at the same time. The defense is battling through more injuries, but the pass rush is revved up and still shutting down the run. Smith is hurting on a short week and should be without Walker in the backfield. It's not looking good for Seattle after it lost to the Rams and San Fra keeps the home team in a tryptophan stupor.
Dolphins over Jets Miami needs to remember to run the ball and not get too pass happy with Tua. The Jets are weak defending the rushing attack. They can't put Tua in a situation against a great pass rush and coverage. The Jets find a little more offense this week with Boyle, but it's not enough as the Dolphins' defense comes through to not spill the gravy.
Saints over Falcons The Saints have a little more stability and consistency with their offense vs. the Falcons, who are dealing with unknowns at QB and suspect personnel issues. Both teams are coming off a bye, and it's easier to trust Allen and his staff than Smith. This division matchup is always sloppy, but I think NOLA feasts of Dirty Bird this week.
Steelers over Bengals The Steelers still have Pickett at QB, which is better than the Bengals' situation minus Burrow. That didn't help them against the Watson-less Browns last week, but they can get on track running the ball and take advantage of their rival hosts also having other key injuries. Browning is going to have issues against Watt coming for his cornbread stuffing.
Titans over Panthers Reich's seat is hotter than the oil in a turkey fryer at this point. The Panthers are the lone one-win team left in the NFL, and it has been ugly all season. Tennessee averaged 12 PPG through a three-game losing streak, and Henry has just 45.7 rushing YPG in those losses. Henry gives Levis some run support, but Young keeps this battle of rookie QBs closer than expected.
Buccaneers over Colts The Bucs have lost five of six, three of them were one-score losses. With no running game Tampa is last in the league with 76.9 rushing YPG and can't be trusted on the road. Indy had a bye week and they remain in the playoff hunt, but I'm picking Baker to "bake" up some pumpkin pie throws out to Evans and Godwin.
Patriots over Giants Ah, this old Super Bowl chestnut. These two teams are a far cry from the Brady and Manning-led powerhouses we were used to. The Pats may give us a new starting QB this week, and coming off a bye, this could be the slight edge they need to win over DeVito.
Jaguars over Texans Great division game here. Jacksonville is 1-4 vs. Houston with Lawrence as its starting QB. But they are also 4-1 when they rush for at least 100 yards and limit their opponent to less than 100 yards. It's simple, they have to get after Stroud. Jacksonville is 3-2 when the spread is three points or less. If they don't spill the cranberry sauce, the Jags could stay on top of the division after this week.
Broncos over Browns Denver's on a hot streak, winning it's last four games. Cleveland has that elite defense, though, and they just brought on former Ravens Super Bowl QB Flacco to help DTR. This will be another close one but I think Russ will "cook" up some delicious plays to edge past the Browns.
Rams over Cardinals The Rams smashed the Cards 26-9 in the first meeting. Stafford led a comeback victory against Seattle, and now another opportunity on the road presents itself. Stafford is 2-1 in head-to-head against Murray, so this game could be tighter than you trying to fit into skinny jeans after eating all that turkey.
Chiefs over Raiders A win here would probably get Pierce the full-time HC job. KC is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, including three wins at Vegas by an average of 16.3 PPG. They're working on a short week, but the Raiders will need to have more success on the ground to keep up with a Chiefs' team that turns the ball over a little too much. Not planning for an upset, but Pierce could spike the eggnog on this one.
Eagles over Bills The Eagles have a short week going to a hit-or-miss Buffalo team that is 1-3 on the road. Philly is 4-1 when they get four or more sacks, so look for this defense to turn up the heat on this Allen meal. Hurts does the rest, and the Eagles feast on Buffalo this week.
Ravens over Chargers The Ravens are rolling with another AFC North title in sight with their competition fading because of injury and attrition. Jackson has struggled with the Chargers in the past and their passing issues make them look less appetizing than a green bean casserole. The Chargers' defense will play a little more inspired at home with Staley on the hottest of seats. Herbert also can keep his team in the game with wild-card hopes on the line.
Vikings over Bears Minnesota couldn't finish well against Denver, but that changes back at home in prime time. Dobbs' mobility and playmaking can cause Chicago's defense problems and there's a good chance Minnesota will put Jefferson on the field before the bye. With him stretching the field, it will open up plays elsewhere. Then the Vikings' run defense and pass rush will take care of the rest to contain Fields, making him look drier than the white meant of that turkey you just ate.

Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck and Happy Thanksgiving!

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NFL Week 11 Predictions Thread (2023 Season) (alien.top)
 

Good Wednesday to you all, /r/NFL! Turkey Day is coming up and many pundits are already scoping out their playoff picture for teams currently winning in their division. The byes are another four teams this week, so two less games to watch. I had a good Week 10, going 10-4 and bringing me to 101-49 on the season. How did everyone else do? We have a whopping seven division games this week (half the matchups) with five inter-conference and two cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!

Winner Loser Comments
Bengals over Ravens Starting off the week with a good one. Baltimore has two home losses this season, and this short week makes this a true toss-up game between division rivals. Jackson is 7-1 against the Bengals as a starter. Burrow could reverse that trend and give us an "upset". As with most good division games, this will be a toss-up.
Steelers over Browns So I picked the Browns to win this one and was typing this up literally as news was breaking about Watson's season-ending surgery. Clearly this changes things. Could rookie QB Thompson-Robinson light it up? Maybe, but probably not.
Lions over Bears The Bears could get Fields back for this matchup, which may give them a better shot in this division game. Chicago is 1-4 on the road this season, averaging over two turnovers per game. The Bears also allow 298.2 YPG on the road. This could be another huge game for Goff. Detroit is 5-1 as a single-digit favorite.
Chargers over Packers Chargers should be able to get the running game against a Packers' defense that has allowed 200-plus rushing yards three times this season. Green Bay is 1-4 in games decided by three points or less. Love has thrown eight of 10 INTs in the second half, so Green Bay may be in trouble if they can't get a big lead early in the game.
Dolphins over Raiders Seeing Pierce coach this beleaguered Raiders team to back-to-back wins is a great feel-good story we can all appreciate. But reality is about to hit them with a Dolphins team hosting this matchup. The Raiders average 33 rushing attempts and 149 rushing YPG the last two weeks, but the Dolphins have a decent run defense. Miami pulls away with a two-score lead at home.
Commanders over Giants This is going to be one nasty game. The Giants are a mess, but they did beat Washington in Week 7. Howell has taken a league-high 47 sacks, and that has disrupted the Commanders' offense. DeVito has taken 11 sacks in two blowout losses. If Howell can stay upright, he should be able to get a win here.
Cowboys over Panthers The Cowboys erupted for 640 total yards against the Giants, and the Panthers had a few extra days after the loss to Chicago. The Panthers average 14.5 PPG at home, which will not be enough against Dallas. I can't see Young outdueling Dak this week.
Jaguars over Titans Levis completed 52.5% of his passes over two weeks, and the Titans averaged 11 PPG in those losses. That won’t do on the road against the Jags, who are coming off a sucker punch against San Fran. Jacksonville has a chance to shake it off and get itself right with a solid division win this week.
Texans over Cardinals Should be a good matchup of Murray versus Stroud, who is 3-1 at home with a 113.9 passer rating. The Texans might not cover the spread, but Houston keeps the good times rolling.
49ers over Buccaneers San Fran looked different after their bye, with the defense totaling five sacks and 10 QB hits. The pass-rushing combo of Bosa and Young is pretty good. Tampa ranks 31st in the league in rushing offense (78.1). That is going to cost them in this one, even if Baker makes it interesting.
Bills over Jets This one may turn out way more wild than previous thought. After the stunner in Week 1, Buffalo is looking for payback. Allen is 6-4 with nine TDs and 10 INTs in 10 starts against the Jets. New York is 4-2 ATS as an underdog because that defense travels well. Bills in a close one.
Seahawks over Rams Seattle quietly won three of their last four games, and they are 2-2 on the road. Stafford is still dealing with a UCL injury and if he cannot go it might be Wentz against Seattle. Geno is coming off his best game of the season against Washington and I think he'll continue the trend.
Vikings over Broncos My gut is saying upset, but I don't think Denver is there yet. Dobbs does not turn the ball over and Denver still has the worst defense in the league, struggling most against the run. Chandler and Hockenson may be too much for the Broncos to contain, but then again we didn't think Denver could beat K.C. and Buffalo either.
Chiefs over Eagles Recap of last year's Super Bowl and possibly a preview of this year's. Tough pick for this one. Hurts has struggled with INTs on the road, where he has a passer rating of 87.8. Mahomes keeps the Chiefs rolling at home with Kelce. This one will come down to the wire again.

Byes: Falcons, Colts, Patriots, Saints

Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!

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NFL Week 10 Predictions Thread (2023 Season) (alien.top)
 

We're on the backend of the season, /r/NFL! We have another game in Germany this week and it looks like it'll be a bargain bin game compared to last week's. The byes are fours teams this week, meaning two less games to watch. I had a great Week 9, going 12-2 and bringing me to 91-45 on the season. How did everyone else do? We only have two division games this week with four inter-conference and eight cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!

Winner Loser Comments
Bears over Panthers We're starting the week off on an absolute clunker. Young, the running game, receiving corps and O-line have all been limited or inconsistent for Carolina. Whether it's Bagent or Fields, the Bears can go after the Panthers defense well through the rushing attack and a motivated Moore in the passing game.
Colts over Patriots Minshew is taking hits in the passing game, but he's been helped out by Taylor and Moss running every week while the defense gets better. Jones has been more competent with more diverse weapons and the running game is improving, but he's still missing throws and making a few key mistakes.
Bengals over Texans Stroud is red-hot as a former Ohio State QB. Burrow is also sizzling as a former Ohio State QB. Stroud and the offense hasn't been the same on the road and Cincy has a tough pass defense with its strong CBs and bookend pressure. Burrow picks apart Houston's pass defense inside out.
Saints over Vikings This will be a close one; coinflip. The Saints' offense is finally starting to gel, with some hiccups last week, but they got some big plays from Taysom as well as five turnovers from Bagent to get the win. Dobbs brings the support the Vikings need after losing Cousins, but I think the NOLA defense pressures him enough to make winning this matchup just out of reach.
Steelers over Packers Steelers' defense will be primed to jump on a limited Packers offense with Love still fighting through it. Watt will be ready to tear into Green Bay's O-line and Pittsburgh's run blocking should keep both Harris and Warren hot. Pickett won't need QB heroics here.
Buccaneers over Titans Another coinflip game. If Levis can play like he did against Atlanta, the Titans have a good shot in this one. But this Bucs defense has been legit for most of the season. Baker also has the receivers to give the Titans' corners trouble.
49ers over Jaguars Given that San Fran has to go cross-country on this one, I'm calling this my "upset". Purdy should be sharper from the bye with better weapons around him. Look for the Niners' pass rush to rev up with more help and do enough for Purdy to outduel Lawrence on the road.
Ravens over Browns Probably a low-scoring divisional matchup given these two teams' great defenses. Garrett and crew tend to play much better defense at home; not the case this week. Baltimore brings a nasty pass rush and secondary. Watson still isn't playing well and he'll make too many mistakes under pressure.
Cardinals over Falcons Bird battle. Murray should be back this week. Heinicke and the Falcons offense continues to lose any rushing or passing identity. If Murray plays, the Falcons' defense has proved the past two weeks it doesn't respond well to QB curveballs, either with athleticism or a big arm.
Lions over Chargers The Lions will have their offense at full strength after a bye around Goff and St. Brown. The defense will chase Herbert as L.A. gets too one-dimensional with limited weapons. The Chargers' pass rush will be held in check while St. Brown goes off to lead a big scoring charge.
Cowboys over Giants The Giants have lost Jones and Taylor, leaving them with DeVito and Barkley. That doesn't feel good against Dak and a defense that beat them up 40-0 in the first meeting in Week 1. Dallas will take out its disappointment at Philly by ripping into another, much weaker NFC East rival.
Seahawks over Commanders Commanders go from Washington D.C. to Washington state, hoping to keep playing well on the road with Howell. Seattle is coming back from getting blasted in Baltimore and won't mind a get-well game. Smith plays much better, while Howell gets rattled a few too many times.
Raiders over Jets Jets are coming off a short week to play another AFC West opponent. The Raiders are playing more inspired defense with a tough running game at home under interim coach Pierce, having just ripped into a much worse New York team. The Raiders can hang in there with a run-heavy, physical approach.
Bills over Broncos Ungulate battle. Wilson is playing well and at 3-5, the Broncos were inspired enough to think their offense can put them back in the playoff picture. Denver does have confidence with the defense playing well and just having dusted K.C. before the bye. But Buffalo is ready to bump off a lesser team at home after losing to New England and Cincy.

Byes: Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins, Eagles

Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!