Is my math wrong? Didn't that guy reporting to Putin say 20km deep and 14km wide? At best, that's 280 square kilometers. And Ukraine is stating it's nearly 5x as much. Someone help me here.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Guy reporting to Putin and Ukrainian chiefs have quite opposite interests to give estimations and I don't know how accurately you can draw lines on the maps, so I'd guess that the russian guy underestimates the area by a lot in a hope that his window doesn't suddenly break with his body and Ukraine likes to give a round number, even if reality is 830km² or whatever (I don't believe that they'd publicly lie about the area to be 3 times bigger than actual, but 20% on those cirumstances is pretty much just a rounding error).

[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

It's also changing at a pretty good clip. I just did a summary of a Michael Kofman video from a couple days ago where he was talking about estimates of 350 square kilometers and "probably more by this point". If you're talking about anything from a couple of days ago, it's going to be rather outdated.