this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2025
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Summary

European officials are preparing a multibillion-dollar defense package to bolster regional security and support Ukraine, announced by German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock at the Munich Security Conference.

The package, potentially valued up to 700 billion euros, will fund military training, arms deliveries, and security guarantees amid concerns over Russian aggression and diminishing U.S. contributions to NATO.

The move follows calls for Europe to boost its own defense spending while U.S.-Russian talks, which exclude Ukraine and Europe, on ending the Ukraine conflict continue.

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[–] [email protected] 32 points 3 days ago (3 children)

I think the reason is: because the EU has seen nothing good coming recently from Trump's or Putin's mouth.

  • Putin's previous record is that he poisons opposition figures, attacks countries and attempts to conquer them. He has not resigned from the goal of controlling Ukraine yet, so there is no reason to come out of war mode - and indeed, perhaps going deeper into war mode will make him willing to let go.

  • Trump's previous record is that he makes a mess where he goes, has previously obstructed military assistance to Ukraine multiple times. On his best days, he behaves like a protection racket.

Those two are currently negotiating "behind the shed" somewhere.

What EU is doing, is putting together a contingency plan for a possible outcome: Trump helping reach an agreement which Ukraine cannot accept, and US support to Ukraine ceasing to flow.

In that case, the EU must move enough military resources to replace the US. The package volume (0.7 US defense budgets, in addition to EU countries' individual defense budgets) indicates that it's a "replace the US" package.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago

I'm not completely sure if the post you replied to was sincere based on its tone but appreciate your well reasoned comprehensive analysis.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Honestly 0.7 US defence budgets is quite an impressive sum of money for the EU to be able to cough up overnight.