this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2023
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chapotraphouse

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[–] [email protected] 41 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (3 children)

Some other thoughts;

  • Every day the idea of DeSantis as a "competent fascist" grows more and more funny.
  • I don't think Trump is going to win in the rematch, but it's going to be an "unexpected" nailbiter like 2020. If Biden does kick the bucket and they have Kamala running, then yeah Trump is going to win by 5 points or so even if it's from prison.
[–] [email protected] 28 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

He'll lose the popular vote but win the electoral college again, except this time it will be because of some GOP voter fraud fuckery, or a chud judge in like Ohio or Michigan will throw out their state's electoral votes in favor of Trump. Then after he wins there will be a bunch of investigations, another media circus, some low level scapegoats will go to jail, the Democrats will impeach Trump again, and then literally nothing else will happen and he'll continue to be president until he dies of a heart attack. Calling it now.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 years ago (3 children)

I don't think Trump is going to win in the rematch, but it's going to be an "unexpected" nailbiter like 2020. If Biden does kick the bucket and they have Kamala running, then yeah Trump is going to win by 5 points or so even if it's from prison.

idk, Biden barely won in the first place, and that was before inflation went out of control and people stopped being able to afford anything. he's also done nothing, so maybe people voting in the 4 states that actually matter stay home instead of go out to vote.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 2 years ago (1 children)

It could go either way. It does appear that there is a real swing towards the democrats in key states like Michigan and Wisconsin, so looking at the electoral college I don't think there's gonna be a lot of difference compared to 2020. Abortion rights are still a massive sticking point and the GOP touting a federal abortion ban is probably all that's keeping Biden afloat. Honestly, it's anyone's game at this point.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 years ago

yeah totally agree, people don't really talk about how close the last election was. on any given day, you probably could have had a different result.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 years ago

he's also done nothing

that's not true. he bargained away the student loan pause during the Deal of the Century, flubbed the perennially shrinking student loan forgiveness order, and interest rates went up 7200% kicking the tech platform enshittification cycle into overdrive & injecting superglue into the lock protecting the housing market from normal humans.

as usual it's the DNC's race to lose, and i have no doubt they are going to have some real doozies for us this time.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 years ago

He's still got the most important thing that won him the election last time: he's running against Trump.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (3 children)

Every day the idea of DeSantis as a "competent fascist" grows more and more funny.

We probably shouldn't laugh it off it entirely given what his governorship has been like.

If Biden does kick the bucket and they have Kamala running, then yeah Trump is going to win by 5 points or so even if it's from prison.

If he dies it will not be Kamala running to replace him. It'll be a governor or maybe Sherrod Brown.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 2 years ago (1 children)

It'll be a governor

Or maybe... A mayor? pete

[–] [email protected] 7 points 2 years ago

No, Pete. Go home.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 years ago (1 children)

If he does kick it, then Kamala will be president and the DNC will rally around the incumbent.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 2 years ago

No way, everyone will be jumping to primary her.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

We probably shouldn't laugh it off it entirely given what his governorship has been like.

State races are weird. It's for the real fans. The racism nerds.