Imagine there is war in Eastern Europe, Israel and Taiwan at the same time. Tensions are rising in Kosovo too. I don't think there's a worst case scenario for nato.

But I don't think China is ready for this. In this universe, China would like the war in Ukraine to last for a few years still.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Russia attacking a NATO country would not remove US military forces from Taiwan. The US has the largest military force in the world they would be more than capable of sending some troops to Europe and keeping some troops in Taiwan.

Hell they probably don't even need to send any troops to Europe. Russia hasn't exactly proven itself to be a capable or sophisticated adversary, they have completely failed to effectively prosecute a war in which conventional air combat is basically non-existent. If they were to go into a NATO country they would absolutely be dealing with extensive air operations of which they would have no ability to defend against.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

You're underestimating the strain of the Ukraine war on ammunitions I think. Western industries are not ready for war economies. In the US or in Europe a brutal shift may even be politicaly destabilising, as the far right is already fighting to stop fighting Russia.