this post was submitted on 22 Jan 2025
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Sure it will, there's a lot of inertia and feedbacks in the system, some kicking in recently although there's nothing physically special about 1.5^o^C. Also, as well as CO~2~, emissions of CH~4~ rise fast, while those of SO~x~ fall. My point is rather that people (especially anglophones) tend to over-estimate the importance of USA in world affairs. What matters is that the rest of the world gets on with transitions.