this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2025
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Thing is, it doesn't replace workers. And it won't for the foreseeable future. Even Microsoft itself had to admit that their studies show AI assisted coding to be bad and making developers worse.
There is hardly any market where these systems can reasonably compete with exploited humans. It's just that the tech bros have nothing left to invest in. The same idiots that pushed crypto, NFTs and the Metaverse are now pushing for AI. There is hardly any innovation anymore, so the only ways to make line go up are rent seeking and investing in bubbles in the desperate attempt, that something might stick.
Translators and junior level devs.
Translation on a level an AI could do is already pretty cheap, nobody's gonna throw a nuanced legal document at an AI and rely on it.
Junior devs are much smarter than any current AI, because they know what they want to achieve and why. There's a reason why all the demos are toy examples. Actual code is messy and full of quirks because of weird requirements.
My case in point. Instead of farming out translation jobs for 12 languages in WPML to people, we now auto translate all content via AI. That’s jobs lost. Complicated legal docs is an edge case in the content world.
Cursor is agent mode with Claude 3.7 absolutely writes well enough after indexing our codebase to mean less junior devs. I’m sorry that doesn’t fit into your narrative.
That’s not to say the world isn’t full of AI slop, and there aren’t huge issues around LLMs, But there are some solid use cases for this technology in replacing meat bags.
I tried cursor, claude, copilot. They're not good.
Like, they can sometimes generate 10 lines of perfectly reasonable code, but they constantly completely misunderstand my intention or simply produce garbage. But the garbage looks just good enough, that you actually have to read and understand it, which slows me down.
Maybe we're operating in completely different worlds, but even for the junior devs in my company, typing speed was never an issue. I'm sure, within a few years LLMs can generate much better code, but I don't see widespread unemployment. They need way too much babysitting and result in worse code.