politics
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The actual data says it has nothing to do with personal experience and everything to do with what the media tells people. When polled last month, voters in swing states were split down the middle on what they experienced in their own lives, whether their local city or town's economy was heading in the right direction, but three out of four said the national economy, something they have no first hand understanding of, is going in the wrong direction.
The oligarch-owned media constantly tells everyone that things are terrible but people look at their own lives and local economy and don't see it, so they assume it's happening everywhere else.
Chris Hayes did a segment about that very thing a few days ago.