Sagan won that finish so i wouldn't be shocked if Girmay is still there at the end. He looked fresh today i think.
In the end it's probably dependent on how Pog rides the Stage. If he goes really hard already on the second to last climb trying to force a move, all the GC have to follow and it gets to fast for anyone but VDP. Bettingwise i like Vauquelin for 51:1.