Lugh

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF
[–] [email protected] 18 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

China is the global leader now when it comes to the energy transition, America is just going to become more irrelevant on the world stage.

By the end of Trump's term, the world of huge gas guzzling fossil fuel cars is just going to look sad and out of date. Meanwhile the Green Energy transition it's the largest industrial project in human history. The failed orange businessman who bankrupted a casino, is just handing all the trillions of dollars of future revenue to China.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 22 hours ago

Just of top of your head, can you list three reasons they want to join the Fediverse for a “normal” Reddit user?

I agree, there is no reason for most of them to. Why leave a place full of conversation to join somewhere where there is hardly any?

That said, many people want to to abandon traditional social media sites like Twitter/X and Facebook - Bluesky has been a huge beneficiary.

If it did things differently, there is every reason to think the fediverse could benefit from that transition. This trend of turning against the old social media , especially as it has aligned itself with the far right, is only going to accelerate.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

I wonder what effect this will have on the resale value of second-hand electric vehicles?

So far they have not been performing as well as ICE cars. EV cars from even three years ago are seen as technologically behind today's models, particularly when it comes to battery technology.

Theoretically the second hand EV market should be vibrant in future. EVs have much simpler engines, require much less maintenance when they are older, and should hold their value longer than ICE cars.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago) (13 children)

It’s still very early on, but a theme discussed in the video is worth repeating here: if the Fediverse is so great (ethical, devoid of advertising or toxic, addictive algorithms, with the goal of genuinely connecting people) why is it that the general public has not heard of it?

The futurology.today instance I'm an admin/mod of has the added benefit of being a direct sibling of r/futurology on Reddit which has 21 million users (I, and the other Mods also mod it).

Despite over a year promoting it on the subreddit, 3/4 of the instances users are from the fediverse, not Reddit.

Maybe the fediverse needs some breakthrough with usability, discovery and appeal?

Its bizarre that finding and subscribing to other instances is still so painful and backwards.

Why can't we have new account types already subscribed to a 'top 100 instances' ? Instant improvement.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

I think the issue is that although it's early days, if nobody builds the guardrails in at this point in time, will they ever? Do the people in charge of building AI even care? Their leadership seems much more interested in deregulation and rolling back safety oversight.

[–] [email protected] 148 points 2 days ago (7 children)

So the same people who have no problem about using other people's copyrighted work, are now crying when the Chinese do the same to them? Find me a nano-scale violin so I can play a really sad song.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago

Thanks for the reply.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Naive question probably - which of these platforms would get a new creator the biggest audience?

 

I'd guess by the end of 2025, it's almost guaranteed locally run Chinese AI models will become by far the most common and used forms of AI around the world.

So far the Chinese AIs have been using the global corpus of internet scraped data, but they are about to get a new source - Chinese public data. This raises an interesting possibility. First, that Chinese AI starts thinking in a more Chinese way, and second that this form of thinking may become the most dominant form of AI thinking globally.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago

The new US administration has made the world more dangerous. The ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians and war with Iran both threaten to escalate to a wider Middle East war.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago (1 children)

At present, the only available treatments for snakebites consist of polyclonal antibodies derived from the plasma of immunized animals, which have high cost and limited efficacy against 3FTxs5

Huge swathes of the world, especially India and countries in Africa, don't have access to high cost medical treatments.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 days ago

At least this should finally put the 'Chinese can't innovate, they can only copy' meme into retirement.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Yes, & their embrace of the orange failed businessman will come back to bite them on the backside.

He's already handed China global leadership in the energy transition, likely the biggest industry in human history, that the Chinese will make trillion from in decades to come.

 

Here's a Jan 25th 2025 quote on X/Twitter (which his firm helped Musk buy) from Marc Anderessen, head of VC firm Andreessen Horowitz/a16z.

"A world in which human wages crash from AI -- logically, necessarily -- is a world in which productivity growth goes through the roof, and prices for goods and services crash to near zero. Consumer cornucopia. Everything you need and want for pennies."

This is the world Big Tech is building for us. Given their hold over the current US administration, barring a political revolution - there's not much to stop them for the next 4 years.

If their power to create that world via AI & robotics is seemingly unstoppable, what about a counter-intuitive idea? Engage them on it seriously. At the very least the transition to this world might need the kind of emergency economic supports the Covid era had.

It seems strange Big Tech is so open about what it intends to do, yet we are still not taking it seriously, despite them saying it all out loud.

 

Throughout 2024 Open Source AI has been slowly catching up with investor-funded AI, but in the first weeks of 2025 that has dramatically accelerated. Now Open Source isn't just catching up, it is arguably better and superior to investor-funded AI.

Restrictions on chip imports seem to be driving Chinese innovation, not slowing them down. Using lesser chips, they've optimized AI to run cheaper and more efficiently, but be just as powerful. Not only that, they've open-sourced that AI.

Where does that leave the hundreds of billions poured into investor-funded AI? Who knows. But they've no product to sell that people can't get elsewhere way cheaper or for free.

This also means AI will become decentralized and democratized. Many thought it would just be in the hands of Big Tech, but the exact opposite scenario is playing out.

What are the economic implications? AI hype is keeping the US stock market afloat - how long can that last?

Source

view more: next ›