These are for new flight bookings. International arrivals have already dropped by 11% as of February: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250310/dq250310d-eng.htm
The original source: https://www.oag.com/blog/canada-us-airline-capacity-aviation-market
Using forward booking data from a major GDS supplier, we've compared the total bookings held at this point last year with those recorded this week for the upcoming summer season. The decline is striking — bookings are down by over 70% in every month through to the end of September. This sharp drop suggests that travellers are holding off on making reservations, likely due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the broader trade dispute.
It's also important to note that this is more than just leisure travel between Canada and the US itself.
I don't necessarily think these are the main driving factors, but you could attribute some part of this to:
- economic recession, because firms oftentimes cut back on travel in their budgets as the first line items to be cut (prior to layoffs), and businesses may be more reluctant to hold conferences and large meetings in-person during periods of economic stress, and fewer business negotiations/meetings are happening due to tariff anxieties.
- declining air traffic to the US overall because of visa worries, the proposed travel bans or spite - Air Canada + airline alliances competes with US airlines for passenger bookings (i.e. itineraries like London -> Toronto -> Kansas compete with equivalent US itineraries of London -> New York -> Kansas ), and visa policies like the China Transit Program exists to help Air Canada and the Star Alliance leverage Canadian airports as transit hubs to the US. Remember: if privileged Canadians are scared about being allowed entry to the US without being detained in an ICE holding facility, you imagine how citizens of developing countries must feel about traveling to the US right now.
The trend only holds true until September according to the source, so general uncertainty definitely seems to be a key driver here.
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New Airline Bookings Between Canada & United States Collapses, Down 70%+ (bookings until September)
(onemileatatime.com)
Doing so would be over Visa Debit or Mastercard Debit - not Interac. The only difference is that they have a lower interchange rate.
Dogfights aren't a thing anymore in modern aviation. There's a reason it was barely considered in the procurement process that led to the F-35 acquisition. Sure hope other countries step up to the plate to build viable exportable alternatives to the F-35.
This is what they want to do. They'll put the tariff sticker on goods that are technically tariff-ed, but don't even come from the US. They'll stick that tariff sticker next to orange juice from Mexico (a country that isn't tariffed).
This narrative is clearly designed to deflect blame for price hikes onto the Canadian government, much like how Tim Hortons and restaurants point fingers at provincial governments whenever minimum wage goes up.
Yes, the Canadian government implemented retaliatory tariffs, but let's not forget that Loblaws consciously chose to stick with those specific suppliers. They have the power to decide what products line their shelves. As consumers, we should actively support stores that have made the effort to switch to non-American suppliers. It's disingenuous to suggest that there are no alternative countries exporting similar goods like canned soup, deli meat, and fruit juice. They made a conscious choice to buy American - let those clowns watch their inventory rot.
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Oh awesome! So pleased to see Mistral AI integration for paperless-ai.