Ontario

The Cons, the oil lobby and their American media allies that own most Canadian media spent enormous money ripping the provincial Liberals to shreds while they were in power, similar to what they did to the Liberals in Alberta during the National Energy Program to create a lasting hatred and distrust that will weaken the Liberals here for decades. They're weak enough to not have a viable path to victory provinicially, but strong enough to leave the NDP without a viable path to victory as well, and so of course the Cons ran away with it again. The Liberals only managed to squeak out a minority Federally because of insane levels of strategic voting by BQ/NDP voters who were willing to throw the BQ and NDP under the bus to prevent Pollievre from opening the door to Trumpism. And that door has still not been shut as firmly as I would like.