this post was submitted on 19 Jun 2025
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That re-used first stage exploded when it started its final descent burn.
I would not class that as 're-usability achieved'.
No, no the program would not be done already.
Also, the entire concept of Starship does not work if it is not reusable, unless you wanna build about 30 tanker craft to fuel it for a moon landing and return.
And yes, thats about 30, not about 15 refueling flights, because almost a year ago now, Musk admitted his Starship+Booster combo is only actually capable of about 50 tons to orbit, not 100.
Which is why now 'version 2' is being rushed.
What is actually going on is massive quality control problems all across the board, especially the reliability of the plumbing and pumps, as well as the rocket engines themselves.
Not only are the engines just unreliable, prone to failure, not being properly checked/repaired/rebuilt... they just fundamentally seem to be some combination of not as powerful and/or fuel efficient as was previously stated.
The reused booster that blew up was coming in with an extra hot and stressing landing profile, so I wouldn't read too much into that blowing up.
I agree that they need to make reuse and refueling work for their proposed Artemis architecture to be viable. I'm saying they could be up and running as a traditional disposable upper stage already if they wanted to. 50 tons to LEO is a start. Add a kick stage and you can do some cool stuff with that.
A Falcon Heavy can already lift over 60 tons to orbit, expending only the central rocket, and recovering the boosters.
Something under 50 tons in fully reusable mode, about 70 tons in fully expendable mode.
I am no fan of Elon, but I do admit the Falcon platform actually works, works well, and works reliably.
...
Why not just use a couple Falcon Heavy launches to send a modern equivalent of the Apollo Lunar Module, the Apollo Command and Service Module, mate them together in LEO, and maybe throw in a few more Falcon launches if you need to top up on fuel/supplies?
The Lunar Module from Apollo would fit in a Falcon Heavy cargo fairing, as would the CSM.
This would work to actually complete the general Artemis mission profile of just 'get humans on moon and then return them.'
...
this idea explored / described in more detail
Oh, thats not enough pure stuff/people to the Moon? We want more stuff getting to the moon and back in each go?
Ok, first send up basically an analogue of a CSM with docking ports all over it.
Then send up two cargo modules and dock them symmetrically to the psuedo CSM. Then send up a translunar booster, then send up two lunar modules with crew.
Now you have a stick with roughly a wheel on one end of it.
)--===-|o
)-- is the translunar rocket module
=== is the CSM
(its not the 1960s so it can deploy solar panels and thermal radiative panels radially as well)
-|o
is the initial docking node thing that looks like a + when viewed head on, and its got two symmetrically connected cargo landers, and two symmetrically connected human landers.
the o is your return crew to earth lander, either send that up along with your docking node thing, or another flight if it wont fit all together.
Send this all to LLO, keep the CSM in LLO, drop off your people and cargo, do stuff on the moon, send the cargo landers and human landers back up to the CSM, go back to LEO, crew gets in the return lander, goes home, CSM and translunar engine stay in LEO.
Now, send up a maintenenance crew in a dragon capsule, along with some supplies, they check out the CSM and translunar module and make sure its all good, ready to be reused.
If it is, ok now send up some refuelling capsules and manually refuel, EVA if you have to.
Now you have what is functionally a translunar tugboat, that can be reused for a while, and modularly refitted with supplies, crew, lunar cargo and crew modules, earth return modules.
Now I am not saying all this is easy or guaranteed to work, but... why has Musk spent a decade chasing this giant mega rocket scheme, when he could have been ... just attempting a more modular system like this, that he and clever engineers could figure out how to do with ... probably not entirely, at least initially, but vast majority mostly recoverable and reusable rocket launches to LEO, and possibly even partially reusable two stage lunar cargo and crew modules?
(Just send up some new landing modules for the bottom half of the lunar cargo/crew modules and maintain and refuel the lunar ascent engines)
You could do some kind of configuration of modular parts in LEO as defined by the Falcon Heavy's LEO launch capacity and how reusable vs how many components, how much assembly time you need... and just make a, or possibly many just modular lunar tugboats like this.
Everything could also be tested, one segment at a time, instead of testing the whole thing at once and basically losing everything on any failure.
Everything other than in orbit cryogenic refueling has already been proven possible to do by other people, other organizations.
...
Now getting humans to Mars is a whole other story, but again, you could use a modular approach to assemble essentially a big boy version of this concept, but it would be more complex and difficult... you're gonna need beefier martian lander/return modules, more LEO modular assembly required ... but this way, you have construction happen either directed remotely or with mainteance crews, then you stock up on supplies and fuel, then you send people... and this is way more efficient in the long run as you dont have as much fuel boil off and martian bound crew just eating 3 to 6 months of rations and water while waiting for all the refuelling tankers to reach them, as is SpaceX's current approach.
...
I’ve seen that math and something like that could work. Elon turned off the spigot on falcon heavy launches to create a bigger market for Starship.
Blue’s lander aggregates in a manner similar to what you describe, as did NASA’s original government reference design.
The other thing you’re talking about is basically Gateway. You’re pitching (more or less) the NASA concept circa 2019. :)
I mean, this may sound stupid, but I have 'prototyped' this kind of idea in a highly modified KSP, KSP Realism Overhaul, with a whole suite of realism mods, space and aerodynamics physics overhauls, realistic weights and thrust values and random failures, coded my own flight routines, blah blah blah.
It generally works in concept, and yes the crazy part is that it is basically the same or quite similar to the original Gateway idea...
But that all got thrown out the window with NASA higher ups going all in on SpaceX.
Look up Kathy Leuders. She personally did the assessment of Starship + Heavy Booster as reasonable and adequate... and I do mean personally. She wrote the whole document in first person.
Then, she resigned a few months after that, and now gets paid handsomly as an employee for SpaceX.
It is the exact same regulatory capture bullshit, the industry exec to government official to lobbyist charade that plauges other industries.
Starship is way too big as a 1st crewed moon lander. I think the sustainability of the whole program would be improved by having fully reusable smaller landers and transit vehicles that can be refuelled, ideally including by ISRU. Statship wasn't architecture for this, and making it work had tons of compromises.
I really want the rest of the space industry to benefit from functional and cheap super heavy lift as soon as possible from a Statship stack with a reusable 1st stage and disposable stripped down 2nd stage. Launch some normal payloads and experimental reusable ships in between.