this post was submitted on 14 Jan 2024
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Just under half of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers who support former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley indicated that they would make a crossover to the Democratic party, saying that they would rather vote for President Biden over former President Trump.

A new NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll released just one day before the Iowa caucuses found that 43 percent of Haley backers in the state said they would vote for Biden if Trump is the GOP nominee, while 23 percent say they would vote for the former president. Eight percent said they would vote for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Overall, 71 percent of likely GOP caucusgoers said they would vote for Trump in 2024, while only 11 percent said they would vote for Biden.

“Haley is consolidating the anti-Trump vote,” J. Ann Selzer, a pollster who has conducted the Iowa survey over the last three decades, told NBC. “She does well with the people who define themselves as anti-Trump.”

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[–] [email protected] 77 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Well that’s good news. Now we just gotta see how well she does tomorrow. Biden might actually win in 2024. I’ve been feeling so negative about it because most Americans don’t understand what caused inflation and “well, the economy was better under Trump” means literally nothing when a global pandemic and regional wars fucked the world up

[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

The Trump economy is exactly why we're having this housing crisis. His administration kept interest rates insanely low, way after the economy had recovered from the recession. This resulted in an insane amount of borrowing, because even poor investments could easily beat the interest rate, so it was essentially free money.

Well, surprise surprised, a ton of that borrowed money went straight into the real estate market as "safe" investments, which caused housing prices to sky rocket.

The pandemic certainly added fuel to the fire, but people tend to forget the underlying cause of massive housing inflation - "free" money and a no brainer investment.

The pandemic just fuel to the fire because everyone suddenly looked to upgrade their home situation, due to being stuck there on lock down.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago

And speaking of fuel, there’s more domestic oil production under Biden than under Trump! How much do we hear them bitch about the price of gas? They’re so stupid

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago

Probably actually more a problem with fed policy under Obama. It's understandable that rates went to zero after 2008, but keeping them there for 7+ years doesn't look great in hindsight. Trump actually did hike rates prior to the Pandemic, with Obama doing a few small hikes right before he left office as well.

[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Also, the weird truth is that the economy did better under both Obama and Biden than it did under trump, but the wingers don't let facts get in the way of their talking points. I've been worried about Haley getting the nomination because I think she could beat Biden. I don't think trump would. For me trump winning is scarier, but more unlikely.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Im scared of a Trump win but terrified of a Trump loss. What will happen if he loses a second general election? I would rather see Haley get the nomination because the Trumpers would write in Trump and Biden would win easily. I’m voting for Haley in my state’s primary lmao

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

One thing to keep it mind, when he lost the first time, he was still in control of the government so his power and influence was far greater than it is now. This second time around, he has no power whatsoever, he's just another citizen, but it is through his supporters, and the constant media attention, that he wields the illusion of power, but not political power. Objectively, it will be A LOT harder for Trump to attempt another coup since he no longer has all the political levers to control.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I agree with you there! But at the same time, him with less options leaves the door open for more unfettered violence. I think it’s not likely that a bunch of old racist men who cosplay as Navy SEALs would stage a widespread revolt that involves multiple domestic terrorist incidents, but… it’s sort of not impossible either. Some rightwingers took out a power grid near Fort Bragg last year. Makes me wonder if that was a drill

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Legit question from a non-American - are Repubs really likely to vote for a woman for president?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

A woman republican candidate will lose badly bc they would not.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Not just Republicans. I know several people on both sides of the aisle who only voted for Trump the first time because they didn't want a woman president.

[–] [email protected] 47 points 1 year ago (5 children)

I just don't understand some voters. At all.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 year ago

They are stupid. It's really that simple.

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Almost half, so like what? 250 people?

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[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

All five of them, huh?

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (3 children)

It's not like Haley is middle-of-the-road compared to Trump, she's potentially just as right-wing (if not more) as he is, so are Republicans voting for her just looking for any alternative to Trump? Are they potentially more center-spectrum, just because they're willing to vote for a female candidate? It's still early in the process though, I'm sure when we get into the main election, those attitudes could potentially change as it comes down to it.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago

Haley's policies are far-right. She's a threat in many ways. But she's not a threat to Democracy. She would be a terrible President, but that's still better than a horrible dictator.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Trump has shown that he is a threat to the republic. Haley, not so much, even if her policies are too far right. So it's probably because they want someone to represent their views, but also recognize that Trump is an actual threat and don't feel the same way about Haley. . .which would explain why so many of them would vote for Biden.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

Yep. Haley's platforms may be similar to Trump, but she is not against democratic institutions. It's sad that the bar is now at "do they say they will be a dictator day 1", but here we are.

If Haley was president, we would still have to fight tooth and nail, but I would be decently confident we would still have the ability to vote her out in 4 years.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

100%. Voters think Hailey is a "moderate" Republican because she's a woman which feeds into their assumptions about women being more moderate in general. It's nothing more complicated than that.

This person would pardon an insurrectionist. Either she has drunk deep of the Kool-aid, or she's as shameless and unprincipled as Trump, McCarthy and all the other GOP who will say literally anything for votes.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago

They’re lying

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago
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