this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2025
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Split voting and spoiler candidates in Ontario 2025 (lemmy.ca)
submitted 4 hours ago by observantTrapezium to c/ontario
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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/39866020

In these 32 ridings the PC candidate won thanks to vote splitting. Results are as of this morning and may have changed slightly.

Thanks to all spoiler candidates listed below /s

26 spoiler candidates are New Democrats, 11 are Green, and 5 are Liberal. Only one NDP candidate, Natasha Doyle-Merrick, had the decency to step down in Eglinton-Lawrence, but that election was still spoiled by Green candidate Leah Tysoe ๐Ÿ˜ก

First past the post ๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž

York South-Weston: election spoiled by Faisal Hassan (NDP); Daniel Di Giorgio (Liberal) would have won by 7957 votes (25%)

Hamilton Mountain: election spoiled by Kojo Damptey (NDP); Dawn Danko (Liberal) would have won by 8021 votes (21%)

Peterborough-Kawartha: election spoiled by Jen Deck (NDP); Adam Hopkins (Liberal) would have won by 7232 votes (13%)

Sault Ste. Marie: election spoiled by Gurwinder Dusanjh (Liberal); Lisa Vezeau-Allen (NDP) would have won by 2920 votes (10%)

Burlington: election spoiled by Megan Beauchemin (NDP); Andrea Grebenc (Liberal) would have won by 4447 votes (8%)

Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: election spoiled by Zaigham Butt (NDP); Heino Doessing (Liberal) would have won by 2784 votes (7%)

Kitchener South-Hespeler: election spoiled by Jeff Donkersgoed (NDP) and Jessica Riley (Green); Ismail Mohamed (Liberal) would have won by 2653 votes (7%)

Scarborough Centre: election spoiled by Sonali Chakraborti (NDP); Mazhar Shafiq (Liberal) would have won by 2104 votes (7%)

Kitchener-Conestoga: election spoiled by Jodi Szimanski (NDP); Joe Gowing (Liberal) would have won by 2636 votes (6%)

Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: election spoiled by Joel Loughead (Green) and James Harris (NDP); Selwyn Hicks (Liberal) would have won by 2591 votes (6%)

Wellington-Halton Hills: election spoiled by Bronwynne Wilton (Green) and Simone Kent (NDP); Alex Hilson (Liberal) would have won by 3061 votes (6%)

Bay of Quinte: election spoiled by Amanda Robertson (NDP); David O'Neil (Liberal) would have won by 2629 votes (6%)

Mississauga-Erin Mills: election spoiled by Mubashir Rizvi (NDP); Qasir Dar (Liberal) would have won by 2067 votes (6%)

Thunder Bay-Atikokan: election spoiled by Stephen Margarit (Liberal); Judith Monteith-Farrell (NDP) would have won by 1436 votes (5%)

Willowdale: election spoiled by Boris Ivanov (NDP); Paul Saguil (Liberal) would have won by 1192 votes (4%)

Eglinton-Lawrence: election spoiled by Leah Tysoe (Green); Vince Gasparro (Liberal) would have won by 1223 votes (3%)

Milton: election spoiled by Katherine Cirlincione (NDP) and Susan Doyle (Green); Kristina Tesser Derksen (Liberal) would have won by 993 votes (2%)

Cambridge: election spoiled by Marjorie Knight (NDP); Rob Deutschmann (Liberal) would have won by 999 votes (2%)

Whitby: election spoiled by Jamie Nye (NDP) and Steven Toman (Green); Roger Gordon (Liberal) would have won by 1130 votes (2%)

Mississauga East-Cooksville: election spoiled by Alex Venuto (NDP); Bonnie Crombie (Liberal) would have won by 649 votes (2%)

Perth-Wellington: election spoiled by Jason Davis (NDP) and Ian Morton (Green); Ashley Fox (Liberal) would have won by 674 votes (2%)

Pickering-Uxbridge: election spoiled by Khalid Ahmed (NDP) and Mini Batra (Green); Ibrahim Daniyal (Liberal) would have won by 692 votes (2%)

Brantford-Brant: election spoiled by Ron Fox (Liberal) and Karleigh Csordas (Green); Harvey Bischof (NDP) would have won by 764 votes (1%)

Parry Sound-Muskoka: election spoiled by David Innes (Liberal); Matt Richter (Green) would have won by 451 votes (1%)

Mississauga-Lakeshore: election spoiled by Spencer Ki (NDP); Elizabeth Mendes (Liberal) would have won by 350 votes (1%)

Newmarket-Aurora: election spoiled by Denis Heng (NDP); Chris Ballard (Liberal) would have won by 329 votes (1%)

Mississauga Centre: election spoiled by Waseem Ahmed (NDP); Sumira Malik (Liberal) would have won by 216 votes (1%)

Etobicoke Centre: election spoiled by Giulia Volpe (NDP) and Brian Morris (Green); John Campbell (Liberal) would have won by 258 votes (1%)

Mississauga-Streetsville: election spoiled by Shoaib Khawar (NDP); Jill Promoli (Liberal) would have won by 183 votes

Scarborough-Rouge Park: election spoiled by Hibah Sidat (NDP) and Victoria Jewt (Green); Morris Beckford (Liberal) would have won by 115 votes

Algoma-Manitoulin: election spoiled by Reg Niganobe (Liberal); David Timeriski (NDP) would have won by 94 votes

Oakville: election spoiled by Diane Downey (NDP); Alison Gohel (Liberal) would have won by 2 votes

top 8 comments
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[โ€“] AlolanVulpix 7 points 4 hours ago

In the long run, the only viable solution is proportional representation: [email protected]

[โ€“] ahal 6 points 4 hours ago (2 children)

Blaming the candidates is missing the point. It's the party leaders who need to make this happen.

There needs to be a single alliance party right from the outset who's only mandate is to implement PR, call an election and disband.

[โ€“] AlolanVulpix 4 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago) (1 children)

There needs to be a single alliance party right from the outset whoโ€™s only mandate is to implement PR

I think the bigger problem is that the "establishment", prioritize party over their constituents.

[โ€“] ahal 3 points 3 hours ago

100%

[โ€“] observantTrapezium 1 points 3 hours ago

Yeah, party leadership is way more at fault that individual candidates but as the Eglinton-Lawrence case showed, they do have the power to at least minimize vote splitting. I'm very disappointed that the Greens put up 124 candidates when they only had good chance to win 3 seats. Why not focus your effort on these instead of spoiling or helping to spoil 11 ridings!?

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

@observantTrapezium it's equally fair to blame the 2nd place candidate for spoiling the campaign of the 3rd.

For this election, the OLP and NDP were further apart on principles that they have been for 20y.

The OLP leader Crombie is further to the economic right than recent OLP leaders.

If the NDP and OLP can agree that Ontario should exist to benefit people, then they can merge. The OLP often veers into thinking Ontario should benefit only the rich.

[โ€“] observantTrapezium 2 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

Both Marit Stiles and Bonnie Crombie put defeating Ford at the top of their agenda. If they were serious about it they wouldnโ€™t have filed candidates in ridings where vote splitting was a concern. They would have divvied them up and formed a coalition, but I guess defeating Ford was not that important after all. Not having done that is wishful thinking at best given the polls, and more realistically, idiocy.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 2 hours ago

@observantTrapezium there were a few withdrawn or non-replaced candidates. I think there was an OLP candidate who endorsed the NDP candidate as they were withdrawing, forget exactly where.

I totally agree on the Crombie/Stiles fake agenda though. They can have a great collaboration, forming many unity govts, even if they can't align how their parties work or some of their principles.