Snowstorm

joined 1 month ago
[–] Snowstorm 1 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

This is too chaotic to read, it says more about the state of your mind than the content you tried to express with this word salad. Don’t let the anxiety spiral, it’s not worth it. Let’s assess if damage was done :

It’s very simple : did you or did you not respect the sexual and emotional exclusivity with your boyfriend from the date you discussed being exclusive? Outside of this you are free to have conversations with anyone, just let your boyfriend know emotional stuff before anyone else. Also if people you had sex before are still in your life somehow, he should learn this from you and the sooner the better.

Relationships are diverse but the one thing that transcend any diversity is : you should feel like a team with your partner. Do anything to cultivate trust and if trust was broken you can only wait to see if he can overcome the issue and trust you anyway. Sometime it’s gone forever and you can only learn how to behave better in the future : no blurred lines in regard to sexual and emotional intimacy. You don’t only want to be factually exclusive but also to avoid appearance of infidelity whenever possible.

No consensus about the question but if i had a FWB, the sex with the FWB would stop when date number two is planned : keep things calm in my own head if it works, go back to FWB if it doesn’t.

[–] Snowstorm 1 points 11 hours ago (4 children)

A) Be honest, at what point did you expected to receive money and not give access to chatting or picture exchange? You where selling something, it was meant to be personal, unless you are okay with the whole concept it was very flawed from the start. Shocked Pikachu face meme and everything. I am surprised he was onboard with the concept : it seems that both you and him are uncomfortable living through this process. Maybe rationally he thought he was okay with it but emotionally can’t handle it. Like je changed his mind.

B) Your boyfriend will have seen this as a lapse of judgment. Before you can convince him your judgment won’t ever fail like that again you need to figure out if you are uncomfortable from the behaviour itself or from your boyfriend reaction to it. He can’t ask you this in a respectful manner but you need to destroy in a permanent way all social media account involved in this process. Then talk to him honestly what changed in between the original discussion of a sugar daddy and the recent rejection of it. He was just as naive as you? Open communication.

If I was in your boyfriend shoes and in love in my twenties i would have tried to make it work… in my thirties i would most probably have left but wouldn’t have accepted any form of online sugar daddy to begin with . I know this whole comment is pretty harsh but i believe in telling the truth. None of this means you can’t be a descent person outside of this naively managed situation.

[–] Snowstorm 7 points 14 hours ago

Then what if the process doesn’t stop? Bonds interest keep on rising until June-July. The not independent anymore central bank intervene and the USD devaluation gets spectacular!

[–] Snowstorm 6 points 14 hours ago

I wonder… if your buddies went long on stock this week, do you push it just a bit higher before the next storm, so they exit?

It would be hilarious for the Truth Social early warning to be true-true-false. At some point he will do the opposite and only the closest insiders will profit.

[–] Snowstorm 10 points 15 hours ago

I split this evolving situation according to different scenarios and try to weight their relative probability. What’s the motive, where’s the gain?

A) 80% Some variation of pure incompetence where they tried some shit with whatever aim and weren’t prepared for the hard pushback they got served quickly and decisively. Current events are capitulation, at least for a moment.

B) 15% We are in a Russia-like scenario where this administration needs to govern from fear : population fear deportation and can’t elect another government and fear from the companies that he can crash anything at will without remorse : pay regularly to avoid the destruction of your business model. Mafia protection tax will be lucrative for the few people at the very top.

C) 5% Wider destruction of society with genocide and a new flavour of slavery. Luckily this one is difficult and stoping at a mid point, pivoting to B, is easier. Achieving stability in a “network city” scenario doesn’t seems plausible to me : one small example: try to manufacture stuff to give your ruler class quality healthcare without any scale because war killed so much people… modern stuff is outrageously complicated.

[–] Snowstorm 6 points 15 hours ago

How can we price the stock correctly if we don’t know how much of the profit margin needs to be cut to account for bribes? If Apple shouldered the bribe on its own is this a disadvantage when their competitors gets tariff relief for free? Do they pay every 3 months or every year? Maybe we learn the bribe price on the quarterly conference call? Apple has some kind of leverage against the US government and this isn’t an expense?

I have more questions than a three years old!

[–] Snowstorm 1 points 1 day ago (2 children)

How is the Brazilian experience going in this line of idea?

[–] Snowstorm 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Loosing higher profit yes but they don’t loose to a competitor it’s most likely their own medication with their own supply chain only sold at a lower price in Canada. One thing we can be sure is that the Canadian pricing doesn’t involve loosing money.

[–] Snowstorm 34 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Attributing all the merit to Carney in a time of election seems a bit… optimistic? No doubt he was an insider on this brilliant strategy but giving him the unshared paternity is a bit of a stretch.

Whoever came up with this first isn’t ultimately important : I will gladly vote for someone smart enough to understand the strategy and with the connections to push it and see it implemented. No other PM candidate can have me sleep at night with the trust that we try to protect our interest with the best strategy available for our limited ressources.

Also the “if the US won’t lead the world, we will” comment gave such a hopeful vibe, it reminded me of Obama or Jack Layton campaign style.

[–] Snowstorm 11 points 1 day ago

9/9 agreed to challenge Trump? Nothing is won yet but this as interesting ramifications.

[–] Snowstorm 2 points 3 days ago

What else is happening in the domestic issues while we look at international trade and our retirement portfolio?

[–] Snowstorm 5 points 3 days ago

The stock market is dancing to Trump’s rhythm like a puppet. Euphoric gains like nothing meaningful was happening and the economic environment was expected to be predictable and favorable for the most part…

 

It seems the US isn’t competitive in the Icebreaker business… should we keep Helsinki’s shipyard busy for our own profit?

 

Article in question from CBC

https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/adam-gopnik-anti-elitism-antisemitism-anti-urbanism-1.7458841

Trying to make sense of the current political storm, this article helped me.

I keep coming back to the question: what’s the end goals/motivations of Trump supporters? They know he wants to break the government and, yet, thinks it’s worthwhile. Why? Motivation will be multifaceted and we read all kind of proposition from dementia to dark gothic MAGA (as a plot from billionaires to each be king of their own techno-feudal city state). I don’t want to be naive but don’t want to be fear mongering either. Any agenda is enabled by the population and sufficient support.

This article’s take on anti-elitism as a rejection from the uneducated mass of educated immigrants because they perceive them as competition and as being responsible for their failure to achieve success… it leaves me a bit depressed because it takes effort to open up to any difference (immigrants, sexual orientation… ) and the mass of average (poorly) educated population doesn’t have the ressources to make this effort. And then the division in our population can be exploited by dangerous individuals for further pain.

How do we fight this now (and frankly forever because this weakness is intrinsic to this world, for every generation)?

 

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/39240669

Anybody Alive And Growing Anything?

Photo of my biggest terrarium for attention. Things are less colourful currently; this is from about a year ago. I always enjoy my terrarium the most in February with the green contrasting with the Canadian winter. It’s especially white and snowy this week.

 

Photo of my biggest terrarium for attention. Things are less colourful currently; this is from about a year ago. I always enjoy my terrarium the most in February with the green contrasting with the Canadian winter. It’s especially white and snowy this week.

 

I wont ever advise for timing the market, yet the current imminent US-Canada trade war and political storm inspired me to reassess my investing strategy.

Context : Mid 30, kids, mortgage, stable job but no retirement plan with the job.

I favour a diversified mix of low cost index fund but being a nerd i enjoy the Rational Reminder podcast and understanding the smallest details. An evidence based approach to risk and expected returns will guide my choices.

I started with 20 % bond and 80 % stock. The problem with bond : can exhibit volatility if interest rate change especially over longer time horizon, will limit growth if too high %, uncorrelated to stock but sometimes move in the same direction than stocks in recent downturn… I can put some extra payments on my mortgage and consider this a bond for a few years.

I want home country bias : no withholding taxes on dividend and at the opposite i get a tax credit for taxes already paid in Canada. In a conflict i can’t ever be expropriated from my own country stocks and use the Canadian currency for my spending. Let’s make Canada 25%.

Next is the US allocation. It’s two thirds of the investable world by market weight (see the VT etf if you want references) it’s had incredible returns in the last decade with p/e multitude going higher. Currency and country are uncompensated risk (random) and i won’t put myself in a place where 2/3 of my retirement is subject to random results. I choose 35 %.

That leaves 20 % for International developped market. I would like this to be higher than US but i will wait for the actual market weight to tell me that International merits a higher than US %. I leave developing market alone : i want an efficient market with free flow of information snd rules of law properly enforced.

Total 100% (20-25-35-20) close to VGRO.to No single stock, no gold, no crypto. What are your asset allocation plans and most importantly why?

If there is enough engagement here, i will make a future post about asset location, favourite etf to achieve my goal, small cap value and insured US allocation with deep itm options on SPY.

 

Feu Follet :

45 ml lightly aged agricole rum

15 ml green chartreuse

15 ml Falernum

15 ml St Germain

15 ml orgeat 

30 ml lime

20 ml Pineapple

150 ml Crushed ice (more dilution is wanted)

Angostura bitters 1-2 dash on top

A tick bush of slapped (for aroma) thai basil 

French name because of many French ingredients, but keeping with tiki traditions of mysterious and dangerous vibe.

I created this recipe after reading through the excellent tiki cocktail book Smuggler’s Cove. It’s unnecessarily complicated just because…

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