this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2025
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Futurology

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Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports (www.livescience.com)
submitted 1 week ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 week ago

It'll keep going up as we eliminate trajectory possibilities till we eliminate the one with the Earth and it rapidly drops to zero. Unless it doesn't, and jumps to 100%.

Seems surprisingly possible to deflect though. The question is whether the place it would come down is willing/able to devote the resources. https://youtu.be/Esk1hg2knno