1008
Tim Walz says he may run for president in 2028 despite failure of Harris campaign
(www.independent.co.uk)
this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2025
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politics
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Continued hate. How about you? Still prefer trump to any progressive?
What do you think the R's did wrong this last cycle? Do you think they legally cheated and maybe had some actual cheating by his minions? Or do you think they won it because the democrats did everything wrong?
This isn't even up for debate. R's won because D's did everything wrong, at least during and post convention. Trump had an approval rating almost as low as Biden, and even with the incredible opportunity swapping out the candidate represented, they still managed to blow it. Its in the data.
Biden was dead in the water as far back as March of that year, but realistically, he never had a chance. I've posted the analyses here and can dig them up for illustrative purposes, but Biden's probability of turning it around in March was coming in at between a 1:1000, to 1:10000 chance. It just wasn't going to happen, and the sane among us were down voted into oblivion, banned from important subs, banned all over the place for pointing that out.
Once the candidates swapped, Harris was suddenly on a trajectory to wipe the floor with Trump. In the few weeks where we had meaningful data, before the convention, She was on pace to be in the range she needed to be in to take the game home in a lunch box. Her polling looked great, she had done no real damage to herself, and voters were mostly basing their estimates of who she was based on her 2020 primary campaign. Her trajectory was on base to be in the range of 50-55% by November in those models. Things looked really good.
Then.. the convention happened. And she took all the wrong advice and made all the wrong decisions. She swapped out the progressive policies for neoliberal/ neoconservative polices. She refused to step away from Bidens deeply unpopular positions, which were many. She elevated Republican voices at the convention and silenced Gazan delegates.
And her polling tanked. She then proceeded to double down on these things that were deeply unpopular among Democratic voters. And thats the key. Doing almost nothing before the convention, and she was set to coast to victory. Every move she made after the convention was the wrong one, and cost her, substantially.
So again. This isn't even a discussion. If you require this kind of enlightenment, you might want to just pay more attention on a regular basis because everything I'm putting out here is pretty much common knowledge and has been, since/ as/ when it all happened.
Thank you for saying what's been on my mind for weeks without proper ways to convey it.
It just makes me so infuriatingly upset how right you were on just about all of it, btw. It was like watching a slow motion train wreck to watch them snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
As frustrating as it was to watch it from a distance, it was orders of magnitude more frustrating to watch members of our own community, u/jordanlund , and u/FlyingSquid, convert several high-profile subs into echo-chambers effectively devoid of dissenting opinions with regards to how the Democrats were performing, how successful they were being, and what it would take to win the election.
Its one thing when its happening at a distance, but these individuals did real damage, here, in our community. And it wasn't unique to lemmy. It happened on almost all social media platforms and in mainstream and alternative media as well. I've got standing ban's in c/world and c/political_memes from expressing the exact points I'm making here, when these things were happening. The campaign was largely shielded from the dissenting opinion that what they were doing wasn't working, and it cost them the election. Even as late as October they could have pivoted/ re-calibrated, but they didn't think they needed to because they weren't hearing the opinion that shit wasn't working. I think its just more painful when its your own community doing the scum-bag thing.
Democrats won't win an election by ignoring and silencing legitimate criticism. They'll need to deal with and elevate criticisms and discuss how they'll be doing things differently. The constant and pernicious gaslighting, its why they lose elections. Or maybe the right phrasing is that they couldn't win? The relevancy isn't clear to be because I'm unsure we'll have elections again.
There was so much on the line and they cost us everything.
It really was. And now they act like we should forget they called every single one of those people as doomers, tankies, focusing more on Gaza than America, that we're actually secret Trump supporters, russian bots, and then banned us. And then go "Where did the people who we banned go? Must have all been turned off after the election!! 🤣"
I will never forget the people who brushed aside legitimate critcism as "single issue voters" or "russian assets". Fucking Blue MAGA shit that is enabling the DNC to copy the Republican playbook more.
What about this part? When I say legally cheated, I mean gerrymandering, voter suppression, etc.
I think you replied to the wrong comment.
Nope
If these questions are interesting to you, you should come up with answers and present on them.
Same thing the Democrats did wrong. Moved to the right. The difference is that their base likes it.
But they didn't win, so if their base liked it, why didn't it result in a win? I think you understand what I'm saying. There is no black and white, only grey.
Ok, you've chosen to deliberately misunderstand what I said in absolute bad faith. I should have expected nothing else.
Republicans' base likes it when republicans move to the right. Only centrist democrats like it when democrats move to the right. Now misunderstand this on purpose as well.
Yeah its all bad faith from @[email protected] . They are like a honey-pot of bad-faith engagement.
What else do you expect from a guy who uses a random reddit post from 8 years ago about car dealerships as proof of how centuries old leftist disvisions are weird/silly.