this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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Maxime Bernier lost his seat. Yves- François Blanchet BQ has kept his seat but the BQ is poised to lose 12 seats.
What did the BQ do loose so much favor? As usual I am out of touch with Qc goings-on.
Independence is not a priority with the current geopolitical situation. Plus a lot of people want to make sure PP doesn't get in.
Anti-Conservative sentiment in Quebec. The Bloc is never going to hold a majority, so strategically at this time the Liberals were the obvious choice to keep the Conservatives out of power. Among other things.
I am so glad we don't have to worry about that here in Aus.
But I do find it kinda curious. This seems a little different from how things played out in the UK. Over there, the anti-conservative vote didn't always go to Labour, but instead would tend to go to Labour or Liberal Democrat, depending on the seat. You'd expect if an incumbent is non-conservative, the strategic anti-conservative vote would be to re-elect the incumbent. That should play in BQ's favour in terms of retaining their seats. And yet that apparently isn't what happened.
That would be splitting the vote. If 30% vote Bloc, 25% Lib, and 31% vote Con, con wins even tho majority didnt vote for them. Seems a lot of Québecois opted to vote lib to avoid splitting the vote, to screw the Cons.
Right, but if you have a non-con incumbent, the thing Brits decided was the smart move is to strategically vote for the incumbent. So instead of BQ or NDP voters voting for Liberals, Liberal voters should vote for BQ or NDP, in seats where the incumbent was BQ or NDP, to use the tactic that was popular in Britain's latest election. In the UK there were also some seats previously held by Conservatives where the public as a whole decided it was better to coalesce behind LibDems or someone else, rather than Labour, because of past voting patterns in that seat, even while in most seats strategically voting for Labour was the way.
I think they had a longer election campaign, which allowed for setting up campaigns to encourage this so even relatively low-information voters could work out what the best strategic option was for them. I dunno if that might be part of the reason it doesn't seem to have happened in Canada, or if there are deeper ideological or cultural reasons behind it.
I'm lucky enough to live somewhere we don't use FPTP, so I'm not best placed to say one way or the other is the right way to strategically vote. I'm just observing that it seems interesting that the two countries have, in these latest two elections, taken very different approaches. (I will say that this whole discussion is just all the more reason both countries should adopt a real democratic voting system. IRV at the least. A proportional system preferably.)
10:41 p.m. EDT: Blanchet holds seat as party suffers losses
https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/ctv-news-declares-liberal-minority-live-updates-here/