this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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[–] Sunshine 19 points 22 hours ago (2 children)

No, that's just the nature of supply and confidence agreements where they break up slightly earlier than 4 years because the parties have to distinguish themselves before campaigning, you can thank the obsolete first-past-the-post for that. Also the Liberal-NDP supply and confidence lasted for 3 years, that's pretty stable and we got lots of progressive policy because of it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 15 hours ago

Seems pretty clear that we are heading into an alliance between the Liberals and the Bloc. They align pretty well on issues outside of Quebec.

If the Liberals allow their Quebec ridings to support Quebec issues that the Bloc cares about, the Bloc will probably continue to support the Liberals more generally.

Unless the Bloc joins a non-confidence against the Liberals, the Liberals can effectively govern as if they had a majority.

And it will take 3 parties to gang up on the libs to force non-confidence. That means BOTH the NDP and the Bloc joining with the Conservatives. How likely does that seem? Even the Conservatives and Bloc together do not have the votes. The NDP sure doesn’t.

As of now, the Liberals only need 3 votes from outside the party on any given issue. On most issues, they should have little trouble overcoming the Conservative opposition.