this post was submitted on 25 May 2025
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I don't think the graph is showing the phenomenon that OP thinks it's showing - there was a crime wave that started in 2020 which isn't over yet, but things have gotten significantly better since 2022 and that's the same internal when police killings went up, so the straightforward conclusion is that there has been more intensive policing in the last three years which is what has reversed the dramatic increase in the homicide rate.
I'm not sure I agree with your original assertion nor your conclusion, but it's a fair argument! Intensive policing as the defense for this graph seems like a bit of a euphemism to me.
Incorrect. The graph is relative to 2015. According to this graph, homicides have fallen dramatically the past three years, and if the trend continues they will return to pre-2020 levels by next year.
2017 saw ~10% more homicides than 2015.
2024 saw only ~15% more homicides than 2015.
There is no indication that aggressive policing is responsible for the reduction from 2021.