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'is weirder than you thought '
I am as likely to click a link with that line as much as if it had
'this one weird trick' or 'side hussle'.
I would really like it if headlines treated us like adults and got rid of click baity lines.
But then you wouldn't need to click on thir Ad infested shite website where 1-2 paragraphs worth of actual information is stretched into a giant essay so that they can show you more Ads the longer you scroll
I will never understand how ppl survive without ad blockers. Tried it once recently and it was a horrific experience.
They do it because it works on the whole. If straight titles were as effective they'd be used instead.
"Ask Claude to add 36 and 59 and the model will go through a series of odd steps, including first adding a selection of approximate values (add 40ish and 60ish, add 57ish and 36ish). Towards the end of its process, it comes up with the value 92ish. Meanwhile, another sequence of steps focuses on the last digits, 6 and 9, and determines that the answer must end in a 5. Putting that together with 92ish gives the correct answer of 95," the MIT article explains."
That is precisrly how I do math. Feel a little targeted that they called this odd.
I use a calculator. Which an AI should also be and not need to do weird shit to do math.
Function calling is a thing chatbots can do now
A regular AI should use a calculator subroutine, not try to discover basic math every time it's asked something.
I think it's odd in the sense that it's supposed to be software so it should already know what 36 plus 59 is in a picosecond, instead of doing mental arithmetics like we do
At least that's my takeaway
This is what the ARC-AGI test by Chollet has also revealed of current AI / LLMs. They have a tendency to approach problems with this trial and error method and can be extremely inefficient (in their current form) with anything involving abstract / deductive reasoning.
Most LLMs do terribly at the test with the most recent breakthrough being with reasoning models. But even the reasoning models struggle.
ARC-AGI is simple, but it demands a keen sense of perception and, in some sense, judgment. It consists of a series of incomplete grids that the test-taker must color in based on the rules they deduce from a few examples; one might, for instance, see a sequence of images and observe that a blue tile is always surrounded by orange tiles, then complete the next picture accordingly. It’s not so different from paint by numbers.
The test has long seemed intractable to major AI companies. GPT-4, which OpenAI boasted in 2023 had “advanced reasoning capabilities,” didn’t do much better than the zero percent earned by its predecessor. A year later, GPT-4o, which the start-up marketed as displaying “text, reasoning, and coding intelligence,” achieved only 5 percent. Gemini 1.5 and Claude 3.7, flagship models from Google and Anthropic, achieved 5 and 14 percent, respectively.
Rather than read PCGamer talk about Anthropic's article you can just read it directly here. It's a good read.
The research paper looks well written but I couldn’t find any information on if this paper is going to be published in a reputable journal and peer reviewed. I have little faith in private businesses who profit from AI providing an unbiased view of how AI works. I think the first question I’d like answered is did Anthropic’s marketing department review the paper and did they offer any corrections or feedback? We’ve all heard the stories about the tobacco industry paying for papers to be written about the benefits of smoking and refuting health concerns.
A lot of ai research isn't published in journals but either posted to a corporate website or put up on the arxiv. There are some ai journals, but the ai community doesn't particularly value those journals (and threw a bit of a fit when they came out). This article is mostly marketing and doesn't show anything that should surprise anyone familiar with how neural networks work generically in my opinion.
this is one of the most interesting things about Llms that i have ever read
That bit about how it turns out they aren't actually just predicting the next word is crazy and kinda blows the whole "It's just a fancy text auto-complete" argument out of the water IMO
It really doesn't. You're just describing the "fancy" part of "fancy autocomplete." No one was ever really suggesting that they only predict the next word. If that was the case they would just be autocomplete, nothing fancy about it.
What's being conveyed by "fancy autocomplete" is that these models ultimately operate by combining the most statistically likely elements of their dataset, with some application of random noise. More noise creates more "creative" (meaning more random, less probable) outputs. They do not actually "think" as we understand thought. This can clearly be seen in the examples given in the article, especially to do with math. The model is throwing together elements that are statistically proximate to the prompt. It's not actually applying a structured, logical method the way humans can be taught to.
Unfortunately, these articles are often written by people who don't know enough to realize they're missing important nuances.
It also doesn't help that the AI companies deliberately use language to make their models seem more human-like and cogent. Saying that the model e.g. "thinks" in "conceptual spaces" is misleading imo. It abuses our innate tendency to anthropomorphize, which I guess is very fitting for a company with that name.
On this point I can highly recommend this open access and even language-wise accessible article: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10676-024-09775-5 (the authors also appear on an episode of the Better Offline podcast)
Predicting the next word vs predicting a word in the middle and then predicting backwards are not hugely different things. It's still predicting parts of the passage based solely on other parts of the passage.
Compared to a human who forms an abstract thought and then translates that thought into words. Which words I use has little to do with which other words I've used except to make sure I'm following the rules of grammar.
you can't trust its explanations as to what it has just done.
I might have had a lucky guess, but this was basically my assumption. You can't ask LLMs how they work and get an answer coming from an internal understanding of themselves, because they have no 'internal' experience.
Unless you make a scanner like the one in the study, non-verbal processing is as much of a black box to their 'output voice' as it is to us.
But here’s the really funky bit. If you ask Claude how it got the correct answer of 95, it will apparently tell you, “I added the ones (6+9=15), carried the 1, then added the 10s (3+5+1=9), resulting in 95.” But that actually only reflects common answers in its training data as to how the sum might be completed, as opposed to what it actually did.
This is not surprising. LLMs are not designed to have any introspection capabilities.
Introspection could probably be tacked onto existing architectures in a few different ways, but as far as I know nobody's done it yet. It will be interesting to see how that might change LLM behavior.
It's amazing that humans have coded a tool for which they have to afterwards write more tools for analyzing how it works.
That has always been the case. Even basic programs need debugging sometimes, so we developed debuggers.
Wow, interesting. :)
Not unexpectedly, the LLM failed to explain its own thought process correctly.
The other day I asked an llm to create a partial number chart to help my son learn what numbers are next to each other. If I instructed it to do this using very detailed instructions it failed miserably every time. And sometimes when I even told it to correct specific things about its answer it still basically ignored me. The only way I could get it to do what I wanted consistently was to break the instructions down into small steps and tell it to show me its pr.ogress.
I'd be very interested to learn it's "thought process" in each of those scenarios.
Don't tell me that my thoughts aren't weird enough.
Another very surprising outcome of the research is the discovery that these LLMs do not, as is widely assumed, operate by merely predicting the next word. By tracing how Claude generated rhyming couplets, Anthropic found that it chose the rhyming word at the end of verses first, then filled in the rest of the line.
If the llm already knows the full sentence it's going to output from the first word it "guesses" I wonder if you could short circuit it and say just give the full sentence instead of doing a cycle for each word of the sentence, could maybe cut down on llm energy costs.
interestingly, too, this is a technique when you're improvising songs, it's called Target Rhyming.
The most effective way is to do A / B^1 / C / B^2 rhymes. You pick the B^2 rhyme, let's say, "ibruprofen" and you get all of A and B^1 to think of a rhyme
Oh its Christmas time
And I was up on my roof when
I heard a jolly old voice
Ask me for ibuprofen
And the audience thinks you're fucking incredible for complex rhymes.