this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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I don't have the same read as you on this point specifically. 43% and 42% (for Cons) are both majority earning popular vote numbers in Canada, but it did mean that there was more support for the Liberals instead of the NDP overall (up from 33% in 2021). You can talk about held noses but Carney was viewed as a legitimately competent leader for our time of crisis and people voted accordingly. There were a lot of instances of Conservatives winning due to split votes in Southwest Ontario that was the main thing keeping them from a majority government.
I do think with the NDP wielding the balance of power, it is indeed a good idea to push for abolishing FPTP among many progressive reforms, but we don't have to commit to PR or bust from the start.
My point is: The shitty electoral system that keeps the Liberals in, is also the one that kept them out of majority territory this time.
Um, 43% isn't a majority under any electoral system, and that number definitely represents a significant "strategic" vote, evidenced by way of the multiple strategic voting sites and endless posts on social media begging people not to "throw their vote away".
So this is objectively not a majority, but I fully expect Carney and his supporters to act as though it is. The job of the remaining smaller parties then is to remind him.