Whatever the polls say, go vote. Itโs important. Every vote matters.
this post was submitted on 02 Mar 2025
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I'm not going to breathe easy until those lines cross.
I won't breathe easy until the official election results say that the Liberals have won.
With the BS going on in the states, we really, REALLY don't need a conservative government to distract us from keeping Canadian sovereignty.
Keep it up, yโall. Counter our idiotic government.
Holy Stroumbouli! 49% odds that a LPC+BQ coalition could form government.
Don't let the good news fool you, get out and vote and make sure your friends and family are too.
Pierre Poilievre and his extremists are finally below the majority range.
PP refuses to speak out against the attacks on Canada from Trump and his associates. Canada doesn't need a government led by a cowardly wannabe Trumplet right now.
I was expecting it to tighten for the election. But I like the trend. I'm happy if the conservatives are held to minority, I'll be even happier if it leads to a leadership review of PP. I would be ecstatic if this finally splinters the cons.
I'm just wondering if we are going to see a conservative minority and then talks of a left collation. The last time they talked about it the conservatives squealed and squealed about it being undemocratic as if a collation doesn't happen in a crap load of other countries.
If it did happen we would definitely be closer to reaching our Fptp final form.
Political parties are themselves coalitions. Does PP really think that everyone voting C has the same goals and vision?
Provinces have been doing democratic coalition governments as long as Canada has existed.
In fact, NOT working together, like the Conservatives want, is what isnโt democratic.
Of course, Iโm talking social democracy here, not the American โtwo wolves and a sheep vote on dinnerโ model.
The federal Conservatives are very explicitly a coalition, being formed when the Progressive Conservative Party and the Canadian Alliance merged in 2003.
One of the questions asked elsewhere in this topic is whether a failure in the next election will cause that to splinter again. I can't even begin to speculate if that's possible, but I can imagine at least some people are thinking about it.
My expectation is that if CPC wins a plurality (most seats) but not a majority (more than half the seats) they'll be unable to form government (barring the PPC having the necessary seats to reach majority).
We might see some piece of shit LPC folks splinter to be king makers but it's highly unlikely that the CPC can offer anything good enough to BQ, NDP or GPC to form a coalition.
Tweet text from Philippe J. Fournier of 338Canada:
๐Multiple polls confirm dramatic shift in momentum, as Liberals close in on Conservatives.
๐จ338 Sunday Update: The Liberal Surge Continues โ https://www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-update-the-liberal-surge
